
Stage 16 sees the Tour de France enter the Pyrenees. It will be the final mountain range tackled in this year’s edition, and will see three consecutive days where the overall classification can be changed. The first of which will see the riders go from Carcassonne to Foix.
The start of the stage will have a couple of hilltops where a strong breakaway can go up the road, and most of the day is then somewhat flat until the final combination of climbs.
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This will be a day where the general classification will be on the line, however the breakaway also has very good chances of succeeding.
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Stage 16: Carcassonne - Foix, 178.5Km
With 53.5 kilometers to go the riders will go over the summit of the Port de Lers, the first ascent. It is 11.5 kilometers at 6.7% average gradient, a constant climb which will prepare the riders into the final challenge.

Port de Lers: 11.5Km; 6.5% average gradient; 53.5Km to go
A somewhat technical descent will have the riders at the base of the Mur de Péguère. Introduced in 2012, it has since became one of the favourite climbs for the Tour de France organizers, who once again take the finale into Foix. Before that though, the riders will climb 9.4 kilometers at 7.4%, an ascent split into two halves though, as the second half sees 3.6Km at 11.4%. Hard gradients which will be the focus of the climbers on the day, with it’s summit coming with 27 kilometers to go. What will follow is a fast descent, turned into a false-flat that will be ridden all the way into the finale.

Mur de Péguère: 9.4Km; 7.6% average gradient; 27Km to go
CyclingUpToDate prediction:
**** Lennard Kämna


Rúben SilvaEditor-in-Chief
A founding contributor to CyclingUpToDate since its launch in January 2022, Ruben Silva has played a central role in shaping the site’s editorial direction and long-term growth. Before joining the project, he built his experience through independent blogging at Echelons Hub and by producing race previews for Ciclismo Internacional, developing a strong analytical voice rooted in daily engagement with professional cycling.
Beyond editorial work, he has been closely involved in the expansion and coordination of CyclingUpToDate’s wider network, helping establish and support sister platforms across multiple languages. This includes ongoing collaboration with CiclismoAlDia (Spanish), CiclismoAtual (Portuguese), WielrennenUpToDate (Dutch), and RadsportAktuell (German), contributing to a shared editorial vision and consistent international coverage.
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Originally from the Porto metropolitan area in Portugal, he holds a bachelor’s degree in Geography. His path into cycling journalism was shaped not through formal media training, but through independent reporting, community engagement, and sustained on-the-ground involvement in the sport.
Over the course of his career, he has conducted approximately 100 interviews across road cycling and cyclocross, ranging from one-to-one conversations and online formats to press conferences and on-site pre- and post-race coverage. His interviews include leading riders, team managers, and prominent figures within cycling media: Tadej Pogacar, Jonas Vingegaard, Mathieu van der Poel, Primoz Roglic, Wout van Aert, Joao Almeida and Tom Pidcock; managers like Patrick Lefevere and Joxean Matxin; and YouTube personality Bryan Kennedy (BKXC)...
Within 18 months of launch, he helped grow CyclingUpToDate’s English-language platform into one of the most-read cycling news websites, built entirely from the ground up. As both a professional journalist and lifelong cycling enthusiast, his focus remains on delivering accurate, timely, and well-contextualized coverage.
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- I had no idea about that either.
santiagobenites10-11-2026 - great analysis thanks! appreciate you posting this. I didn't realize CX had a different standard for deviation. this is even more egregious it seems.mij10-11-2026
- As he isn't currently with Red Bull, I guess if he want to race for one more year he needs to find a team. He's 37 so this will be his last year I would guess, unless he wants to race for almost nothing like Froome did.awp10-11-2026
- I think some are making much ado about nothing. Even though Jonas is getting older, before his crash in the Tour, he looked like a solid 2nd all the way home. No one can really climb with Tadej until this year, Eric Mas showed himself which I think was a one off year for him and Paul Seixas has been able to be pretty close to him. Whatever stage race Jonas enters as long as Tadej is not there he is a favorite to win.awp10-11-2026
- Giro or not Giro, he won't win the Tour!MajorPayne10-11-2026
- Very true.awp10-11-2026
- Ciccone had a very strong end of season. Consistently attacking and livening up races. Hope he makes that last leap in progress and starts notching some significant wins. Great rider to watch.Occam10-11-2026
- Me too!!!!!Occam10-11-2026
- they can sign any 100 of top riders today but Pogi will win over Remco any time at the TDF unless something goes wrongabstractengineer10-11-2026
- the time for a GC rider to retire is when they cannot win stages, or have a significant level drop like from winner/podium into top 5/10 consistently. Roglic is still competitive and Froome raced even though he became pack fodder.abstractengineer10-11-2026
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