Lance Armstrong on the argument that the 2025 Tour de France route doesn't favor Tadej Pogacar: "It's the Tour and 99 times out of 100 the best one wins"
Cycling
Lance Armstrong has analyzed in his podcast 'The Move' the route of the Tour de France 2025. The American, who won the Grande Boucle 7 times and then lost it for doping, is very clear that the route created by ASO is not at all against Tadej Pogacar.
The former US Postal rider explains that when the Tour route is announced there are always comments that it is designed so that the big favorite doesn't win, and that's what has happened again with the 2025 Tour. He thinks that this is never true, that the great cyclists adapt and that barring a miracle, the strongest always wins:
"I've read some comments about ASO or the Tour, which are the same thing, claiming they are trying to test Pogagar with the route. We've heard that every year, after a few Tour's look at this design goes against such a Pogacar or against Armstrong. None of that crap matters," he argues. "I always joked that if they ever decided to do 22 criteriums around Paris we'd have to figure out how to win. There can't be anything against, if you're Pogacar you have to study how to do it, that conversation is meaningless, the best cyclists are prepared for the routes. It's the Tour and 99 times out of 100 the best wins."
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The route features less high mountain than the more modern Tour routes, but in reality the World Champion has shown no weakness this season and no terrain where his main rivals were above him, rendering the argument almost unviable. .Johan Bruyneel, Lance Armstrong's former sports director and a regular contributor to The Move, described the 2025 route as "traditional":
"I think the main novelty of the 2025 Tour de France is the return to a traditional route. in the first week it's not hard, the first mountain stage doesn't come until the 12th, that's too late and that's going back to the old days."
On the discussion of whether Vingegaard or Pogacar is better suited, Bruyneel is clear: "The best rider with the best team always wins the Tour de France without bad luck". He continues: "In terms of elevation gain, it's more or less the same as this year's. I like the design. I like the design".
George Hincapie, a former colleague of the two at US Postal, speaks of safety as a factor to be taken into account because of the change in the type of course: "In recent years there has been a fight for the overall from the first days, now there is not, which will make the race safer in the early stages, with the riders thinking about getting to the finish line".
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A founding contributor to CyclingUpToDate since its launch in January 2022, Ruben Silva has played a central role in shaping the site’s editorial direction and long-term growth. Before joining the project, he built his experience through independent blogging at Echelons Hub and by producing race previews for Ciclismo Internacional, developing a strong analytical voice rooted in daily engagement with professional cycling.
Beyond editorial work, he has been closely involved in the expansion and coordination of CyclingUpToDate’s wider network, helping establish and support sister platforms across multiple languages. This includes ongoing collaboration with CiclismoAlDia (Spanish), CiclismoAtual (Portuguese), WielrennenUpToDate (Dutch), and RadsportAktuell (German), contributing to a shared editorial vision and consistent international coverage.
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Originally from the Porto metropolitan area in Portugal, he holds a bachelor’s degree in Geography. His path into cycling journalism was shaped not through formal media training, but through independent reporting, community engagement, and sustained on-the-ground involvement in the sport.
Over the course of his career, he has conducted approximately 100 interviews across road cycling and cyclocross, ranging from one-to-one conversations and online formats to press conferences and on-site pre- and post-race coverage. His interviews include leading riders, team managers, and prominent figures within cycling media: Tadej Pogacar, Jonas Vingegaard, Mathieu van der Poel, Primoz Roglic, Wout van Aert, Joao Almeida and Tom Pidcock; managers like Patrick Lefevere and Joxean Matxin; and YouTube personality Bryan Kennedy (BKXC)...
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