“Final podium is not unrealistic” for Remco Evenepoel's Tour de France debut according to Jan Bakelants
Cycling
In a few weeks, Remco Evenepoel will finally make his much anticipated Tour de France debut. What are realistic expectations for the Soudal - Quick-Step leader though? This question has seemingly split the cycling community.
There are those who believe Evenepoel is as good a shout as anyone to challenge Tadej Pogacar at the upcoming Grand Tour. There are also those who are just as confident in their predictions that Evenepoel is simply not a general classification challenger on the level of the likes of the aforementioned Pogacar, Primoz Roglic and Jonas Vingegaard. For ex-pro turned expert analyst Jan Bakelants however, the podium is a very realistic target for the time-trial world champion to work towards.
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"The Dauphiné by no means gave cause for euphoria - although, in time trial that would be justified - but on the other hand, panic is also totally unnecessary. Three more weeks separate us from the 'Grand Départ' in Florence. That is quite a long period in which a lot can still change," Bakelants, a former Tour de France stage winner in his own right, says in conversation with HLN. "Not least in casu-Evenepoel. It is purely about points and commas. About some sharp edges that need to be filed off. I can really see him doing that. With a healthy sobriety, from a kind of underdog position, he will start his first Tour de France. For him, that's not a bad starting point."
"The atypical Tour start should suit Remco enormously, by the way. With stages that offer offensive and aggressive racing types like him a kind of guerrilla terrain and create opportunities for success. And which do not require a featherweight like the high mountains in the final week," the 38-year-old Belgian continues. "On the other hand, such a Tour also hides many stages that on paper don't have much impact on the GC but suddenly turn out to have one in reality. Of the classic genre. And let Evenepoel be one of the best riders in the world in that respect."
"Of course he should go for the best possible final ranking in the Tour and not merely limit himself to the pursuit of stage wins cum several days of yellow jersey. Although he has always set that as a condition for his debut," concludes Bakelants, referring to Evenepoel's stage hunting back up plan used to good effect at the 2023 Vuelta a Espana. "Remco likes to win, victories motivate him. And if he succeeds, it can take the pressure off early on."
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Kieran WoodDeputy Editor-in-Chief
Kieran Wood is a sports journalist based in Wales and has been active in journalism since 2022. He regularly contributes to DartsNews.com and CyclingUpToDate.com, where he covers professional cycling and darts. In cycling, his work includes liveblogs from major races, including the Tour de France, the Giro d’Italia, and La Vuelta a España, alongside race reports and analysis. He has also conducted interviews with professional riders.
His reporting spans the full racing calendar, from one-day classics to stage races, with a focus on accurate, real-time coverage and clear contextual analysis. For statistics, results, and historical context, he regularly uses resources such as ProCyclingStats. To support reporting on rider activity and training context where relevant, he also references Strava.
In his work, Kieran places strong emphasis on careful sourcing, editorial accuracy, and updating articles as new, verified information becomes available.
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- Pogi is a Goat. He has power numbers that are once in a century. Jonas is a once in a generation, He has power numbers 1 level lower than Pogi. Even if both are equal which they were before 2024, Pogi would have won on sprint bonuses. For Jonas to win he has to crack Pogi, which is impossible. Therefore Giro is a good option considering the TT in TDF. He cannot win but if something happens to Pogi , he should be still in a position to win the TDF, Giro or no Giro, because the others are a level below him.abstractengineer11-11-2026
- for what?frieders311-11-2026
- Blah blah blah!frieders311-11-2026
- Where Merckx just rode every single race he could and won all the time, Hinault won less often (percentage wise) because he was more judicious in what he raced. His palmares are nuts. He had amazing rivals, one to start his career and another to end it in the grand tours. His classics were solid. What sets him apart from Merckx and Pogačar are that he basically dabbled in the classics while the other two love(d) them. I used to compare Pogačar to Hinault for his grand tour record and occasional classics win, until I realized that the comparison was wrong. Pogačar loves the classics - ah, the memory of his reaction to finishing fourth in a 2 person sprint in Flanders in ‘22: utter domination in any one day race since then, even when he doesn’t win. Hinault lived for the grand tours and I don’t think anyone else will ever reach his record. 10 wins in 13 attempts? Good lord. An amazing rider. Wish there was more footage to watch.RidesHills11-11-2026
- I had no idea about that either.
santiagobenites10-11-2026 - great analysis thanks! appreciate you posting this. I didn't realize CX had a different standard for deviation. this is even more egregious it seems.mij10-11-2026
- As he isn't currently with Red Bull, I guess if he want to race for one more year he needs to find a team. He's 37 so this will be his last year I would guess, unless he wants to race for almost nothing like Froome did.awp10-11-2026
- I think some are making much ado about nothing. Even though Jonas is getting older, before his crash in the Tour, he looked like a solid 2nd all the way home. No one can really climb with Tadej until this year, Eric Mas showed himself which I think was a one off year for him and Paul Seixas has been able to be pretty close to him. Whatever stage race Jonas enters as long as Tadej is not there he is a favorite to win.awp10-11-2026
- Giro or not Giro, he won't win the Tour!MajorPayne10-11-2026
- Very true.awp10-11-2026
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