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PREVIEW | Tour of Guangxi 2024 stage 6 - Can Ethan Vernon win third stage on the final day of the race?
CyclingSaturday, 19 October 2024 at 09:38
The Tour of Guangxi will be the final World Tour event of the season; taking place between the 15th and 20th of October. The peloton will be in China for what is the final stage-race of the season, but one that will still be important to many. We preview stage 6.
The final day of the race is already a familiar one, taking place in the city of Nanning. This is an interesting day of racing, on paper seemingly a regular day for the sprinters but the profile doesn't quite show how steep the climb is.
Five laps of a circuit on a short day of racing, only 133 kilometers. In each lap, a steep 1.4-kilometer long climb will be ridden and it averages over 11% average gradient. It's possible to do serious damage here and it comes with 19 kilometers to go. The GC riders will be on their toes, and it's hard to know whether this will end up in a reduced bunch sprint, GC day or anything inbetween.
Stage 6: Nanning - Nanning, 133.4 kilometers
Prediction Tour of Guangxi 2024 stage 6:
*** Ethan Vernon, Max Kanter
** Milan Fretin, Juan Sebastián Molano
* Alberto Bruttomesso, Marijn van den Berg, Davide Cimolai, Warre Vangheleluwe, Luke Lamperti, Casper van Uden, Lionel Taminiaux
Pick: Ethan Vernon
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- The likelihood of RE improving enough at this point to outclass TP or JV is less than zero.verve82521-12-2024
- That’s the most stupid thing I’ve read for a long time, did you not go to school and learn even the most basic physics? Aero depends on one thing only, drag, drag depends speed and the relationship is squared and apart from maybe at zero or the speed of sound or due to side winds that relationship is valid at all speeds, it dies not “suddenly” start at a magic number. Very simply, the faster you go the more the effect becomes important. If you think 25km/h is needed to have noticeable effects you’re delusional, athletic WR are cancelled as soon as winds top 2m/s that’s 7.2km/h, why because the assistance is already too important at that speed and the times prove it. You don’t even consider wind which can significantly increase the effective speed for aerodynamics and you underestimate speed of climbs, 6% is ridden more at 30 than 25km/h, a speed at which early generation high rims were considered to have more advantages than disadvantages. And finally, as in normal races you can’t just switch bikes according to terrain, it’s pretty pointless to discuss climbs as a separate situation, the aero will have justified itself plenty during the rest of the ride.Mistermaumau21-12-2024
- If you look at how much TP progressed in that 1 1/2 years you can no longer say that’s nothing. If Remco improves as much he’s a challenger!Mistermaumau21-12-2024
- Froome wishing to ride the Vuelta...he won't even be selected for the team!frieders320-12-2024
- Keep telling yourself that Remco but you not only have Tadeg to beat but Jonas!frieders320-12-2024
- Seems farfetched - I agree. Mas has beaten him once. Giro d'Emillia I think - 2022mobk20-12-2024
- Barring injuries, by the time Pogacar's dominance fads there will be lots of new young talent. Pogacar is about 1 1/2 years older than Remco. That's nothing.Sweep20-12-2024
- I actually don’t find that too impressive. In my later forties I did similar figures for a 3.5% gradient as a total nobody with no wind assistance. Am sure there’s margin for improvement there, especially looking at all the names on that list.Mistermaumau20-12-2024
- Jonas', was 6 years agospock12320-12-2024
- The race where he overnight suddenly turned nuclear after being packfodder at best for several years. His Sky days after that Vuelta and Pogačar’s last season shall remain the darkest post Lance stuff cycling has witnessed. Good riddance Froome.
UltimateOpportunist20-12-2024