Over recent years, the showdowns between
Jonas Vingegaard and
Tadej Pogacar have defined the
Tour de France every summer. In terms of years they've gone head-to-head, both have taken two victories over the other, but according to Belgian cycling expert
Jose de Cauwer, the Visma leader can count himself lucky at this.
Evaluating the potential of his compatriot
Remco Evenepoel to take the Maillot Jaune in the coming years for Het Nieuwsblad, De Cauwer throws some shade at Vingegaard. "As long as Pogacar maintains this level, there will remain a clear difference," the Belgian analyst begins his assessment. "I really don't dare say that Remco will never win the Tour. In terms of talent, I certainly don't rate Vingegaard higher than Evenepoel. Actually, Vingegaard should never have won a Tour, given the difference in class to Pogacar."
More than a criticism of either Vingegaard or Evenepoel though, De Cauwer insists his comments are more of a big piece of praise to Pogacar. "He can steer incredibly. I saw something of him in Lombardy. He rides through everything with elegance," he explains, noting how Pogacar's bike-handling differs from some of the other notable talents in modern history. "That is different from Peter Sagan. He also rode among them, but you watched him with clenched buttocks. Pogacar is one of the best pilots in the peloton, together with Mathieu van der Poel."
After taking the disappointment of losing his Maillot Jaune back to Pogacar in 2024, Vingegaard is set to focus intently on regaining the most iconic jersey in all of professional cycling in 2025. Given the record breaking and all conquering season that the Slovenian had last year though, if the Dane could complete the comeback in France this summer, it would arguably go down in Tour de France history as one of the most impressive victories of all time.
Jonas is good but his wins were due to Visma team tactics and Pogacar riding naively, in one case, and Pogacar not being fully prepared, on the second occasion. Pogacar (and UAE) have become smarter tactically - far less wasted energy and more protection for the team leader - since 2022, and barring further injury or illness for Tadej it's hard to see Jonas winning another Tour.
I agree with your explanation as to why Jonas won when he may not yet have been the better Tour rider .... but for sure Jonas and Visma will already have planned how to win the yellow jersey back. Visma said a couple of months ago that their problem would be simply making sure Jonas did not peak too soon.