PREVIEW | Criterium du Dauphiné 2025 - Pogacar vs. Vingegard vs. Evenepoel on Tour de France preview

Cycling
Sunday, 08 June 2025 at 09:08
tadejpogacar jonasvingegaard remcoevenepoel
From the 8th to the 15th of June the riders take on the Criterium du Dauphiné. Not only is this race usually the biggest preview ahead of the Tour de France, but it will also have the presence of Tadej Pogacar, Jonas Vingegaard and Remco Evenepoel. We preview the race ahead.
The race kicks off with an hilly stage finishing in Montluçon. Whilst likely not important for the overall classification, the Ardennes-like finale can see some attacks from the GC riders and also those looking to surprise - whilst a sprint can also decide the first yellow jersey.
Stage 1: Domérat - Montluçon, 195.1 kilometers
Stage 1: Domérat - Montluçon, 195.1 kilometers
Stage 2 of the race isn't too different, although the start is much more difficult. Breakaways are more possible to succeed, but the end is flatter than the opening day which increases the possibility of there being a bunch sprint deciding the outcome of the day.
Stage 2: Prémilhat - Issoire, 204.7 kilometers
Stage 2: Prémilhat - Issoire, 204.7 kilometers
The third day of racing is not too different than the first ones, only with a tougher start and a slightly more difficult finale. Another day for potential breakaway success, but the truth is that in the steep final ascent there can be some attacks - and the finale can very well be very tactical.
Stage 3: Brioude - Charantonnay, 206.9 kilometers
Stage 3: Brioude - Charantonnay, 206.9 kilometers
17 kilometers of time-trialing will make for the first important overall classification day in the race. It will be a hilly one, with a short but steep ascent halfway through the course that won't have a real descent to it.
Stage 4 (ITT): Charmes-sur-Rhone - Saint-Peray, 17.4 kilometers
Stage 4 (ITT): Charmes-sur-Rhone - Saint-Peray, 17.4 kilometers
Another tricky day in the Dauphiné, the sixth stage of the race features a flat start but then a few climbs where there can be some pace injected, which would split the peloton. Likely, it's a day for a sprint, but the climbs do pose a question of who will be in contention for the stage.
Stage 5: Saint-Priest - Mâcon, 183.1 kilometers
Stage 5: Saint-Priest - Mâcon, 183.1 kilometers
As is usual, the race provides a lot of opportunities for the climbers. There will be three consecutive summit finishes, the first of which in Combloux - where Jonas Vingegaard won a large chunk of time on Tadej Pogacar back in the Tour's 2023 edition. This time around it is a summit finish, and one where we can see some important differences.
Stage 6: Valserhône - Combloux, 127.1 kilometers
Stage 6: Valserhône - Combloux, 127.1 kilometers
The queen stage of the race, without a doubt. Whilst very short, it's a stage with three massive mountain passes in the Alps. Each of the climbs are very long and it's a day suited to the pure climbers, where the biggest differences can be made.
Stage 7: Grand-Aigueblanche - Valmenier 1800, 132 kilometers
Stage 7: Grand-Aigueblanche - Valmenier 1800, 132 kilometers
The final stage of the race is not as difficult as those that come before it, but it's by no means an easy challenge. The final 133 kilometers will mostly have an uphill trajectory, which means the riders will already arrive at Mont-Cenis fatigued. Whilst the climb is not as hard, the fatigue from the week, day, and the altitude may compensate for it.
Stage 8: Val d'Arc - Plateau du Mont-Cenis, 133.5 kilometers
Stage 8: Val d'Arc - Plateau du Mont-Cenis, 133.5 kilometers
The Favourites
Tadej Pogacar - A big moment for the World Champion, and dare I say a race where he will have some pressure. Although he's won the Tour three times, he's never actually won the Dauphiné which comes as a bit of a surprise. He hasn't raced it since 2020 actually, and having chosen it to prepare for the Tour this year comes as a surprise as it seems like he benefits from coming into Grand Tours without racing. So he will have a race where - as always - he will have a high level, and face off his main rivals for the Tour. He's got the Tour block alongside him but he is the only one who can race for the GC. I think that racing aggressively as he usually does would not come to his favour in the long run, and he would best keep his powder dry as much as he can in this race.
Jonas Vingegaard - On the opposite side of the camp, we've seen Jonas Vingegaard race perfect Dauphiné editions both in 2022 and 2023 before going on to win the Tour de France. Visma have a winning formula and that's likely why they come back to the French race. The Dane had a bad fall in March and he hasn't raced since, but lack of race rhythm is no longer an issue for most riders nowadays of this level. The high mountains are the target, he can certainly contest with Pogacar in this race, but Visma do have the tactical advantage having in Matteo Jorgenson a very strong podium candidate and complete rider; and potentially a Sepp Kuss who is looking to finally return to his best level.
Remco Evenepoel - I have mixed expectations for Evenepoel. Last year he won the time-trial but struggled in the mountains, result of not having his ideal race weight yet. But after having lost it after the Dauphiné, he had the absolute best Tour de France he could've hoped for. Quick-Step would likely like to repeat the scenario, but he is reportedly coming into the Dauphiné 1.5Kg lighter than last year. It could be a good sign for his chances in this race (now that he's been able to prepare for real climbing, unlike what he did for the classics), but with almost two months to the end of the Tour, I don't know if he would like to be very sharp yet. On the bright side for him, he will be supported by a very strong pure climber in Valentin Paret-Peintre.
But the race will feature many more top climbers who will be here to also prepare for the Tour whilst chasing a strong result in a key race for the season. Matteo Jorgenson in March had the very competitive Florian Lipowitz who finished second at Paris-Nice, and the German has been looking so strong that a podium place here is quite possible - and a co-leadership, at worst, is what he should have at the Tour de France. We've got Enric Mas leading in Movistar after his best spring to date.
Carlos Rodríguez, winner of last year's queen stage, will be leading in INEOS Grenadiers; and Bahrain - Victorious come in with both Santiago Buitrago and Lenny Martínez who will be very interesting to gauge against the Tour de France contenders after both of them showed stupendous climbing legs throughout the spring. Eddie Dunbar, Max Poole, Harold Tejada and Guillaume Martin are also amongst the GC contenders to consider for this race.
Prediction Criterium du Dauphiné 2025 overall classification:
*** Tadej Pogacar, Jonas Vingegaard
** Remco Evenepoel, Matteo Jorgenson, Florian Lipowitz
* Santiago Buitrago, Lenny Martínez, Carlos Rodríguez, Enric Mas, Eddie Dunbar, Max Poole, Harold Tejada
Pick: Tadej Pogacar
Original: Rúben Silva
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