The second rest day of the 2025 Vuelta a España arrives with
the race finely poised ahead of a decisive third week. Stage 13 on the Angliru
shifted the balance, with
João Almeida showing he is a genuine challenger to
Jonas Vingegaard’s grip on the red jersey. The Dane has two stage victories
compared to Almeida’s one, yet the margin between them is just 48 seconds.
Cycling analyst José De Cauwer described the situation as
rare for this point in a Grand Tour. "That doesn't happen often in the
final week of a Grand Tour," he said. "I thought Vingegaard would
make a more pronounced impression. In recent days, things have shifted a bit in
Almeida's favor. We now have two favorites, which makes it more
beautiful."
Jonas Vingegaard must be becoming sick of the sight of a UAE
jersey. For the past five years he has battled Tadej Pogacar during the Tour de
France, and now he is being challenged by Almeida at the Vuelta.
Despite Almeida’s rise, UAE Team Emirates – XRG has not yet
committed fully to backing him. The team has dominated the Vuelta with seven
stage wins out of 15, but not all of that collective strength has been focused
on Almeida’s general classification challenge. De Cauwer believes that must
change if the Portuguese rider is to have a chance in Madrid. "The final
victory must be the most important thing. They must, above all, fully support
Almeida," he insisted. "I don't think it will come from Ayuso. I've mainly
seen a very good Großschartner."
Uncertainty remains about Almeida’s ability to finish off a
Grand Tour. "We still have to see if Almeida can close a gap in a Grand
Tour. We already know that about Vingegaard," De Cauwer noted. The time
trial scheduled for Thursday could be a turning point. "There's a really
nice time trial coming up. Vingegaard didn't really have a good feeling about
it after the Tour."
The race will conclude with one of its toughest climbs, the
Bola del Mundo, on Saturday. De Cauwer expects fireworks on the final summit
finish. "That's a stage with over 4,000 meters of elevation gain. We might
end up with an all-out race, with someone who dares to lose. Then we'll have to
go all out," he said. "You have to try to seize the opportunities
that come your way. I think Almeida will be a little more daring. The team will
now understand that it has to be 'team Almeida.'"