Remco Evenepoel is the most successful one-day race rider in modern history - Belgian wins almost one third of every monument and World Championship he starts

Cycling
Monday, 04 March 2024 at 14:00
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Modern cycling has seen the rise of new stars which are expected to contest with the sport's legends results-wise, and one of them is Remco Evenepoel. Despite being a rider very well fit for the stage-races, he has actually become modern cycling's most efficient winner in the one-day races.

This is a statistic explained by Twitter user @NaichacaCycling who has taken a dive into the win rate of the sport's best since the 1990's. This does not include for example Eddy Merckx who has in the past ruled the sport, but out of the last decades it is possible to see that Evenepoel has won 30% of every Monument, World Championship or Olympic Games event that he's started as an Elite rider.

He has in fact only started five monuments ,but two were the 2022 and 2023 Liège-Bastogne-Liège which he's won. Evenepoel has also won the road race and time-trial World Championships in 2022 and 2023 respectively. Although it is not included, he also carries in his palmarès three victories at the Clásica San Sebastián, stage victories in the Giro d'Italia and Vuelta a España - the latter which he's also won the GC, and many others. At a fresh 24 years of age, the Belgian already has over 50 victories in his palmarès - an impressive achievement for any rider, but specially for a non-sprinter.

Evenepoel is not isolated at the top of this statistic however, both Tadej Pogacar and Mathieu van der Poel have won 27.8% of theirs respectively. Pogacar at 25 is a Liège-Bastogne-Liège, Tour of Flanders and triple Il Lombardia winner; whilst van der Poel is the reigning World Champion, Paris-Roubaix, Milano-Sanremo and double Tour of Flanders winner - besides his six world titles in cyclocross.

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5 Comments
JoostMehrtens 06 March 2024 at 14:26+ 37

This is a nice statistic but feels a little bit like a searched and found metric to make a point, in this case that Remco is the greatest. Small samples always provide surprising results. Statistically is 3 out of 10 more exceptional than 5 out of 18? Why not include the 10 biggest races, (because then Pogacar will be above 30% and above Remco?) And then we do want to mention that he won the timetrial WC but can't include it in the metric because then his score goes down. Same with all his other wins. He is an impressive cyclist and will cycle the majority of his seasons with the rainbow band on his sleeve, but these attempts to enlarge his aura are pathetic.

Mistermaumau 06 March 2024 at 14:28+ 3442

Agreed but please explain one thing. Why does his score go down by adding one win and one race or are you implying that in order to add that win the number of races that would have to get added is more than 3?

abstractengineer 05 March 2024 at 05:08+ 3126

Peak Remco vs Pog vs MVDP hasn't happened. We will see that in 2024. Pog went to MVDP territory in Flanders and defeated him. Thats why Pog is better than MVDP.

Mistermaumau 05 March 2024 at 12:54+ 3442

Why is RvV MVDP territory, what territory is Milan-San Remo? You base better on 1 race? Who is more suited to what kind of one day race? We’ll have a better idea after 2024 maybe but firstly, I think it’s way too early to define who’s better and secondly you, and most others forget that by the time pundits get round to comparing these guys (and RE, JV, PR, WVA) to see who did best on the road, MVDP already had a whole winter season of wins in the legs. Anyway, they are not always comparable as in tours one will excel in mountains whilst the other often has lead-out obligations in sprints.

Mistermaumau 05 March 2024 at 24:16+ 3442

Ok guys, luckily there are not so many Remcoholics so I don’t risk upsetting too many people when I state the obvious. If Remco would search out a few more one day races against either Pogaçar or Van der Poel, his stats would take a hit. Head to head he loses out against P and he’s been lucky to almost always been able to avoid VDP (who had mitigating incidents for WC and Olympics like crashes and arrests), only meeting 8 times in 6 years. Funnily enough, all 3 started their elite career at the same time. Also, sorry but Remco has a relatively relaxed winter season, I doubt he’d win as much in the Classics or on the road if he’d be « handicapped » by VDP’s load of Cyclocrosses, and lets not forget his stats for this season then. I am not saying RE is not a fantastic rider but he’s no better than those other 2 yet and might never be.

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