Jonas Vingegaard virtually sealed the overall win at Tirreno-Adriatico, and now the final day of racing will be for the sprinters to enjoy. Jasper Philipsen and Tim Merlier are the main favourites, but can the peloton prevent a breakaway from taking the glory on stage 7?
As usual, San Benedetto Del Tronto is where the race ends. The profile is also one that will not surprise the riders, it's a stage split into two different sections. The first can be a last test for the classics specialists to go all-out and test their form.
Read also
Stage 7: San Benedetto Del Tronto - San Benedetto Del Tronto, 154.2 kilometers
This is a day where in the past breakaways have succeeded, the first 65 kilometers are quite hilly, featuring several hilltops, rolling roads... Very explosive terrain. Afterwards the riders descent back into town and find very fast and pan-flat urban roads where it is not easy to close in gaps. The speed needs to be constantly quite high.
A bunch sprint still, is the most likely scenario. There is going to be a race towards a small chicane with 750 meters to go. A pan-flat sprint follows, one for the purists.
The Weather
Map Tirreno-Adriatico 2024 stage 7
Strong southeastern wind. Early in the day this can cause chaos , the riders will find hilly terrain and strong wind that can cause splits in the peloton, but most importantly make chasing difficult for the peloton. In the final circuit it won't be too different, the riders go back and forth around San Benedetto del Tronto, but if the wind passes through the urban roads of the city the riders will have a headwind finale. It will make the sprint more open, if it decided the stage win.
The Favourites
Jasper Philipsen - Philipsen won the only pure sprint stage of the week. There, brilliant positioning and sprinting power did it, his traditional style... The headwind sprint means this can be tricky for the Belgian, but he does not really have a weak spot and by all means he can certainly take a second win.
Tim Merlier - Quick-Step have riders, but their classics specialists may want to attack and try to hunt success in a breakaway. Merlier has not won here however and that will come as a disappointment. As the final sprint stage, the Belgian team may deposit their chips in the Belgian and his hopes of replicating at least some of the success he had at the UAE Tour.
Jonathan Milan - Lidl continue to have a very strong leadout including Simone Consonni and Edward Theuns - experience and power. The Italian himself has already won a stage this week, he certainly has the legs to do really well here and go for a second one.
Phil Bauhaus is already a stage winner in this race, and a former winner in this very finale. He will be a dangerous rider with an experienced leadout, racing this sprint without the pressure which can be dangerous. Biniam Girmay has also looked in great form, however it is necessary that he doesn't do another irregular sprint if he is to chase a win. Caleb Ewan and Casper van Uden are also contenders for a strong result, if Filippo Ganna doesn't chase a breakaway he'd also be a candidate for a sprint.
Amaury Capiot, Vincenzo Albanese, Cees Bol, Stanislaw Aniolkowski, Axel Zingle, Niccolò Bonifazio, Andrea Vendrame, Ethan Vernon, Iván García Cortina, Giovanni Lonardi, Marius Mayrhofer and Alexander Kristoff will all be outsiders for a sprint.
This stage has in the past seen breakaway success, and it will be the last day ahead of the spring classics for most. With the hilly start, pan-flat finale and windy conditions, there is a lot of room for surprise. Hence we can expect attempts to form a very strong breakaway that could potentially go on for the win. Puncheurs, classics specialists and rouleurs being the main threat. Julian Alaphilippe, Kasper Asgreen, Magnus Sheffield, Ben Healy and Alberto Bettiol perhaps among the most dangerous.
Jonas Abrahamsen, Andreas Leknessund, Alessandro De Marchi, Lawson Craddock, Simone Velasco, Bastien Tronchon, Valentin Madouas, Michal Kwiatkowski and Krists Neilands are all mention worthy names on a day such as this.
Prediction Tirreno-Adriatico 2024 stage 7:
*** Jasper Philipsen, Jonathan Milan
** Tim Merlier, Biniam Girmay
* Phil Bauhaus, Caleb Ewan, Casper van Uden, Ethan Vernon, Marius Mayrhofer, Alexander Kristoff, Filippo Ganna, Kasper Asgreen, Ben Healy
** Tim Merlier, Biniam Girmay
* Phil Bauhaus, Caleb Ewan, Casper van Uden, Ethan Vernon, Marius Mayrhofer, Alexander Kristoff, Filippo Ganna, Kasper Asgreen, Ben Healy
Pick: Jasper Philipsen
Rúben SilvaEditor-in-Chief
A founding contributor to CyclingUpToDate since its launch in January 2022, Ruben Silva has played a central role in shaping the site’s editorial direction and long-term growth. Before joining the project, he built his experience through independent blogging at Echelons Hub and by producing race previews for Ciclismo Internacional, developing a strong analytical voice rooted in daily engagement with professional cycling.
Beyond editorial work, he has been closely involved in the expansion and coordination of CyclingUpToDate’s wider network, helping establish and support sister platforms across multiple languages. This includes ongoing collaboration with CiclismoAlDia (Spanish), CiclismoAtual (Portuguese), WielrennenUpToDate (Dutch), and RadsportAktuell (German), contributing to a shared editorial vision and consistent international coverage.
He also helps oversee editorial governance across the network, setting standards for accuracy and consistency and coordinating updates or corrections when needed.
Originally from the Porto metropolitan area in Portugal, he holds a bachelor’s degree in Geography. His path into cycling journalism was shaped not through formal media training, but through independent reporting, community engagement, and sustained on-the-ground involvement in the sport.
Over the course of his career, he has conducted approximately 100 interviews across road cycling and cyclocross, ranging from one-to-one conversations and online formats to press conferences and on-site pre- and post-race coverage. His interviews include leading riders, team managers, and prominent figures within cycling media: Tadej Pogacar, Jonas Vingegaard, Mathieu van der Poel, Primoz Roglic, Wout van Aert, Joao Almeida and Tom Pidcock; managers like Patrick Lefevere and Joxean Matxin; and YouTube personality Bryan Kennedy (BKXC)...
Within 18 months of launch, he helped grow CyclingUpToDate’s English-language platform into one of the most-read cycling news websites, built entirely from the ground up. As both a professional journalist and lifelong cycling enthusiast, his focus remains on delivering accurate, timely, and well-contextualized coverage.
claps 2visitors 1
Just in
Popular news
Latest comments
- Thibau Nys does exactly what Iserbyt is calling for
Rafionain-Glas08-11-2026 - i did not see it. was the relegation justified or an overly hard decision? and don‘t cross riders deviate from straight lines all the time? bumping into each others when they cut corners, etc … why being more strict with the rules on the finish sprint?Ketterechts08-11-2026
- seems like we are advertising the website with pointless comments…Ketterechts08-11-2026
- So?Jumpyjohn08-11-2026
- The UCI do have their favorites.
Front24208-11-2026 - On a positive note, you maybe notice turning this topic into a discussion has the benefit of eliminating certain participants who do not see how they can turn it back to their sole interest ;-)Jumpyjohn08-11-2026
- People see what they want to. I am actually the opposite of your accusation, probably more of a rebel than most of you who don’t get the big picture. The difference is, I don’t go moaning publicly about the consequences of my transgressions, I understand the need for rules and I take my OWN responsibility when deciding to ignore or break them or doing so involuntarily. I will also not hesitate to state my case or argue vehemently when relevant, sometimes it works, sometimes it makes things worse but that’s the price to pay for principles and having character.Jumpyjohn08-11-2026
- That may be but that was unknown to others and nothing says that’s the whole truth. Again, don’t try to misinterpret, it is a call and technically it is correct. Besides, even if there is a valid reason, that does not disqualify the ruling or punishment as far as the rules have been developed. I don’t think they’re as far as in football where for handball there is a distinction (in some ways and specific cases) between intentional or not. And football can be just as harsh and people live with it, eg the offside rule, also judged to within tiny fractions but often wrong or ignored. It’s the nature of every collective organisation and sometimes I wonder if our rebellion against it isn’t seated in the feelings we carry from the injustices we’ve felt personally, like being flashed driving 1km/h too fast when we are explained limits are just a security measure but we are absolutely certain not to have endangered anyone with our transgression. The problem is, nobody has better solutions and no 2 people have the same interpretation of where a limit should be.Jumpyjohn08-11-2026
- Because for you deviated implies the other rider MUST have been made to fall and fail to finish ??? I don’t know if you ride a bike but next time someone carves you up or drives dangerously close, just hold back from those feelings of changing something, reporting or filming or even complaining. Everyone will just say, hey you’re still here undamaged, doesn’t seem like anyone did anything.Jumpyjohn08-11-2026
- And we, what are we doing?Jumpyjohn08-11-2026
Loading
One race. Two seas. One champion. 🔱 Who will be the king of 2024 Tirreno-Adriatico @CA_ita? #TirrenoAdriatico
Write a comment