Danish analyst Emil Axelgaard believes the way and the moment the decision arrived have consequences that cannot be separated from the choice itself. “His decision puts Visma in a very awkward position,”
Axelgaard writes in his column for TV2. “They were already facing the coming season with a weakened squad, and in recent years it has in fact been Yates who has been their only truly significant external reinforcement.”
The problem of timing
Yates’ final public appearances as a Visma rider came in December, during the team’s winter activities. “He took part in the team’s training camp in December, and the team published photos of him when they presented their new kit,” Axelgaard said. “In other words, this must be a decision that was made over Christmas and New Year.”
Axelgaard also referred to reports that the idea of stopping had existed long before the official announcement. “There have apparently been rumours about his retirement already during 2025, and if that is true, then these are thoughts he has been carrying around for a long time,” he said.
The issue for him is not the right to retire, but the lack of time left for the team to respond. “In that light, one can reasonably expect and demand that he make a decision early enough for the team to have time to react,” Axelgaard said. “This late decision leaves them without any chance.”
“I can’t help wondering…”
Axelgaard repeatedly returned to the question of whether everything behind the decision has been made public. “I cannot help wondering whether there are other, untold reasons behind this,” he said. “That is of course, pure speculation.”
He stressed that he does not know what has happened behind closed doors. “Of course, we do not know the details and we do not know what has gone on behind the scenes,” he said, “but in any case it is a decision that has come suddenly.”
That suddenness shapes his judgement of how the team may view the situation. “That is why management also has reason to be unhappy with Yates’ decision,” Axelgaard said.
Possible background factors
Axelgaard mentioned one possible element that could have influenced Yates, while underlining that he was speculating. “Maybe he is unhappy with the race calendar that was outlined for him and discussed at the training camp in December,” he said. “It would probably have meant that he was to act as a helper for Jonas Vingegaard, and then perhaps get his own chance at the Vuelta.”
Even that, in his view, would not explain the timing. “That is not really a valid excuse, because he knew the conditions when he changed teams and left a squad where he was the big star,” Axelgaard said. “He even has a twin brother who could tell him what it is like to be a luxury helper on a big team… It cannot have come as a huge surprise.”
Two sides of one decision
Yates leaves the sport after a final season that included winning the Giro d’Italia and a stage at the Tour de France. For him, it marks the end of a long career on his own terms.
Axelgaard, however, looks at the same moment from the team’s side. “At the moment, it is impossible to fill that hole, even if they have the money, because there are no riders of that class available on the market,” he said.
And that, in his view, is why the timing matters as much as the decision itself.