That last point is central to Evenepoel’s next move. While
his individual talent is unquestionable, the reality is that Grand Tours are no
longer won by individual brilliance alone. The current standard is set by Tadej
Pogacar and Jonas Vingegaard, both of whom are backed by squads stacked with
elite climbers and genuine GC contenders in their own right. UAE Team Emirates –
XRG and Team Visma | Lease a Bike can call on multiple top 10 GC riders as
domestiques, riders who, on lesser teams, would be outright leaders.
Evenepoel has rarely had that luxury. At Quick-Step, he has
often found himself isolated when it matters most, particularly on summit
finishes and in the final week of stage races. The team has long excelled in
one-day racing, although not at all in 2025, but its transition to a Grand Tour
squad has never fully materialised.
As a result, Evenepoel has spent more time defending alone
than dictating from a position of strength. To realistically challenge the best
stage racers of this generation, and maybe even all time, that simply has to
change.
Red Bull – BORA – hansgrohe could offer exactly that. With a
deep budget and a renewed ambition to win three-week races, they are clearly
looking to reset for the post-Roglic era. That’s not to say Roglic is done, his
contract runs through at least 2026, but at 36, and after a brutal run of
crashes (including withdrawals from both the 2024 Tour and 2025 Giro), the team
is right to start planning for what comes next.
It’s also telling that BORA’s recent history in Grand Tours
has been erratic. There have been triumphs, like the Vuelta win with Roglic in
2024, but also baffling tactical decisions, such as allowing Ben O’Connor to
gain five minutes early in that same race. In May this year, both Roglic and
Jai Hindley crashed out of the Giro, leaving the team with nothing to show for
a heavy investment.
Bringing in Evenepoel would signal a structural shift: not
just backing a new leader, but potentially building a modern GC program around
him for the future too.
And there's a financial incentive too, which can’t be
understated. In 2024, reports pegged Roglic’s salary at €4.5 million.
Evenepoel, by comparison, was earning just under €3 million at Quick-Step. By
no means is Evenepoel struggling for money then, but a transfer would likely
come with a significant pay increase, another indicator of how highly Red Bull
values his potential.
Of course, questions remain. Would Red Bull – BORA –
hansgrohe give Evenepoel full leadership, or would he have to share it with
Roglic in 2026? Can the team truly match the organisation and sharpness of UAE
or Visma? These are open concerns, but they don’t outweigh the underlying
truth: for Evenepoel to beat the best, he needs more than just his own legs. He
needs a team built to win a Grand Tour, and right now, Quick-Step simply
doesn’t look equipped to provide it.
A move to Red Bull – BORA – hansgrohe may not guarantee
victory. But staying put might guarantee frustration. For Evenepoel, it’s a
calculated risk, but he is entering the stage of his career where he needs to
take those risks.