PREVIEW | GP Miguel Indurain 2025 - Can Thibau Nys win on his first race day of the year?
Cycling
Before the start of Itzulia Basque Country, the Spanish peloton tackles the prestigious GP Miguel Indurain on the 5th of April. Named after the legendary figure of Spanish cycling, this hilly one-day race attracts climbers and riders with prowess in the classics. We preview the race ahead.
The race is one for the puncheurs and climbers, although none are favoured over the other. The peloton will face climbs of different lengths and gradients throughout the entire day and plenty opportunities for attacks.
The race can see it's decisive attacks earlier, however a final selection regardless of the scenario is likely to happen in the final sequence of climbs. They are 4km at 5.4%, 1.6km at 4.6% and 600 meters at 10%. All of these ascents summit in extremely quick succession within the final 10 kilometers and lead into the downhill finish in Estella.
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It will be a race that features climbing from start to finish and so it can get very tactical... There is an important aspect to take into consideration, which is that this race comes two days before the start of Itzulia and so many riders will not want to take many risks or exhaust themselves.
BORA and UAE both have many strong climbers and puncheurs and are likely to try and attack from far to use their numbers. They might very well win, but there are several teams with strong cards to be honest. The winning move may come at any point, as chasing in such terrain is quite hard, and a sprint is unlikely at the end of the day.
Prediction GP Miguel Indurain 2025:
*** Thibau Nys, Maxim van Gils, Marc Hirschi
** Brandon McNulty, Marc Soler, Oscar Onley, Finn Fisher-Black
* Isaac del Toro, Ion Izagirre, Kévin Vauquelin, Alex Aranburu, Roger Adrià, Daniel Matínez, Mauro Schmid, Clément Champoussin, Harold Tejada
Pick: Thibau Nys
How: Solo win with an attack on one of the final two small ascents.
Original: Rúben Silva
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- Agreed. He was dropped hard on every other climb. Without the run up he might have not been in the final sprint. And why not try it? Kudos for him for trying to make the race rather than just following.mij06-04-2025
- To me it seemed like an attempt to get through the climb closer to the front, since his burst power was lacking. If he starts earlier he can take the hill slower and still not be too far behind by the top. It kept him in that group of 4, where he might have been dropped had they all stayed together to the bottom of the climb. Who knows, though. I’m just guessing.RidesHills06-04-2025
- No idea, there have been suggestions something is amiss, maybe he doesn’t have all his mind connected at some moments, I’d definitely do a thorough review of his consciousness under effort.Mistermaumau06-04-2025
- Pogacar and van der Poel have won the last 6 Monuments, and 11 of the last 13 Monuments. There’s never been domination like this by two riders, and we are in our third year of it. (Merckx and de Vlaeminck won a total of 30 Monuments between 1966 and 1979, but others were winning along the way, as well.)RidesHills06-04-2025
- Yes but what was the dumb effort by Van Aert to drop Pogacar, Vanderpoel and Pederson about.? Just showing face? If he had stayed on the wheels and not wasted energy, he might have got on the podium in the runners up sprint.Cyclingsbestfan06-04-2025
- What a loser.
santiagobenites06-04-2025 - I agree about the sprint or drilling it on the flat. Lighter rider versus heavier rider. Inertia is the natural tendency of objects in motion to stay in motion (e.g the heavier riders momentum) and objects at rest to stay at rest, unless a force causes the velocity to change.Cyclingsbestfan06-04-2025
- Definitely, he is a great rider, and this season might even be as good as last (in a perfect world, a few more Monuments, a Tour-Vuelta double, and the Worlds again), but he has to do this for years on end to compare to Merckx’s results from roughly 69 to 74. Yes, times have changed, yes competition is different, yes speeds are higher, and so on, but let’s let Pogacar be Pogacar and give him time. We can evaluate his career when he retires. Until then, let’s enjoy it while we have it.RidesHills06-04-2025
- Excellent work and show from all of them, glad to see van Aert got back to shape in time. Bring on P-RMistermaumau06-04-2025
- All this seems right but the problem is that two riders of differing weight going at the same speed will have different power and they will also have different power per weight yet are both (in theory, i.e. when trying their hardest) at their max,which means the lighter one is proportionally losing more to the wind (working harder to overcome), the heavier one proportionally losing more to rolling resistance and bounce. The extremely difficult calculations to know which of the 2-3 causes the bigger effect under what exact conditions is what makes it impossible to say who will benefit most in many situations when they aren’t different enough to make it obvious, i.e. a puny climber of 50kg vs a sprinter of 80kg on either the flat or a mountain.Mistermaumau06-04-2025