Lance Armstrong on why Jonas Vingegaard has very low chances of winning the Tour de France: "This is not the Visma of other years"
Cycling
Lance Armstrong, who was highly critical of Tadej Pogacar and UAE Team Emirates for the tactics used on the Le Lioran stage, was for a change, full of praise for what they did on the Pla d'Adet.
"The tactics were good. They controlled the race, they controlled the breakaway, they have Adam Yates, they have those kind of riders. Adam Yates attacked and then Tadej," Armstrong said on his podcast The Move.
The Texan believes that the small details, the little "clues" that they leave each other in the middle of the decisive climb, determine the attacks they make, and that perhaps Pogacar saw a weakness in Vingegaard yesterday in the last kilometers and took advantage of it to attack.
"These guys know each other very well, they've been together a long time, I'm talking about Pogacar and Vingegaard, they know each other perfectly and any detail they detect, like the way sweat or salt builds up, maybe they sneeze or maybe they're uncomfortable on the bike, they see it and we can't see that sitting on a couch listening to a commentator, they who are glued together see those things."
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It is clear that Pogacar's 2-minute lead is now a considerable advantage to be reckoned with: "This somewhat hypothetical, you send Jorgenson to the lead to set a pace. and we've seen this in the past and Jorgenson's pace seemed conservative, but imagine a world where Vingegaard tells him to slow down some, if Pogacar listens to him he has to attack, this is hypothetical, they didn't talk about it. Now with a 2 minute lead. It's a big advantage going into the time trial," he refers to the test against the clock the organisers prepared for the last stage in Nice. However we still have handful hard stages up ahead and it may not be within 'just' two minutes next Sunday.
Armstrong would like to see Vingegaard's team to approach the race more aggressively: "This Visma | Lease a Bike is not what it was in the past. They have great riders and have had bad luck with crashes and losing Sepp Kuss before the race, but Matteo Jorgenson can't do all the work to reopen the race, he has to have guys in the lead to be able to hurt Pogacar."
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Article written by Juan Larra.

Ondrej ZhasilCycling Journalist
Ondřej Zhasil is a cycling journalist at CyclingUpToDate and has been part of the team since 2023. He is based in Ostrava, the third-largest city in the Czech Republic, and covers professional cycling across the main UCI competitions, including the Tour de France, the Giro d’Italia, and La Vuelta a España. A key focus of his work is startlist analysis and pre-race coverage, where he examines team selections, rider line-ups, and tactical scenarios ahead of major events.
Alongside WorldTour coverage, Ondřej has developed specific expertise in junior cycling and in racing across East Asia, including competitions in China and Japan. He also maintains a broad working knowledge of other disciplines and levels, including cyclocross, while continuing to expand his understanding of mountain bike racing.
Ondřej holds a bachelor’s degree in Mathematics and Physics, which supports his analytical, data-driven approach to performance and race analysis. In his reporting, he regularly uses ProCyclingStats for results, statistics, and historical context. He places strong emphasis on careful sourcing, editorial accuracy, and updating articles promptly when new, verified information becomes available.
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northcarolinaeric14-07-20245
Who is this guy?
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- A mindset that reminds me of Tim Declerq. I loved watching that guy just pound away the kilometers, hours at the front, holding an entire breakaway in check on his own. Bjerg seems like a similar guy. Curling, the team sport.RidesHills04-11-2026
- He will be lol, but he can still win on the climbs hahaawp04-11-2026
- I would love to have his inconsistency. How many wins this year? 2 TdF stages, a WC, a Euro championship, San Sebastian, multiple wins early year. Monument podiums. I'd take it. I don't think he has a chance in the TdF, but he is still amazing.mij04-11-2026
- He's not going to win the TdF. Maybe if they make every single stage a TT he could win. But I still believe Tadej would just sharpen his TT skills and win.mij04-11-2026
- You beat me to it. Should he make a full recovery (likely) and go light early in the year. One, two, three. Don't ask me, I don't give a damn. Should he be on a Feel-Like-He's-Fixin'-to-Die High.Yepperoni04-11-2026
- The deciding factor may be the (TBD) number of (any type of) kilometers without Pogacar.Yepperoni04-11-2026
- Unexplained chronic fatigue is an all too common bitch. The hard to find definitive answer may lie buried in gut mechanisms. A mystery of the deep.Yepperoni04-11-2026
- It's weird to say Evenepoel would be making a "serious mistake by adding the 2027 Giro d'Italia to his calendar, warning that such a decision could even be interpreted as a lack of confidence in his ability to win the Tour de France." It may well be a mistake but with so many commentators (of all sorts) continuously claiming almost everything Remco does as being a mistake, almost nobody should care what the pundits and the disparagers should say. His team may not want him to do the Giro, and that matters. But it's possibly or probably up to Remco to decide and it may not have to be decided on until a month or so ahead of the race. Yes , Remco is inconsistent much like the majority of the best riders but he's enjoying a period of not having been recently injured (or sick). Whatever he does he need not be concerned with critics who will second guess any perceived failure no matter what. I suspect he will have enough other races on his schedule so he won't be considering it. But the worst reason to not race it is because of what some will say - humorous that be.Yepperoni04-11-2026
- I'll say clean sweep all grand tourZamorano04-11-2026
- And the place he calls home is in Slovenia with his parents.RidesHills04-11-2026
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