The headline totals only become meaningful once the seasonal spread behind them is examined.
Valverde recorded professional victories across three distinct phases of his career. His winning seasons span 2003–2010, then 2012–2019, and finally 2021–2022. When counted as distinct seasons with at least one professional win, that produces a total of 18 separate winning seasons. Those seasons were not consecutive, but they were distributed across an unusually long competitive lifespan, built not on a single uninterrupted peak but on repeated returns to winning form across different stages of his career.
Cipollini reached 17 winning seasons through a more concentrated model. His victories span 1989–2005, forming a long and highly productive sprint-driven prime. Once established at the top level, he added winning seasons consistently, with very few interruptions. His total reflects sustained dominance rather than extended late-career resurgence.
Cavendish also stands on 17, but through a different distribution. His winning seasons stretch from 2006–2018, before resuming again in 2021–2024. That spread includes clear gaps where victories did not arrive, followed by successful returns to winning later in his career. His tally is therefore built on both early dominance and the ability to re-establish himself after periods without wins.
Matthews now sits on 16 winning seasons, and crucially, his sequence remains active. His Castellon victory extends a career that has already spanned multiple competitive eras, placing him directly in the same statistical conversation as riders whose longevity has defined entire generations.
Can Matthews extend his career a few more years to beat Valverde's record?
Why Matthews’ case is different
Matthews’ route to longevity does not mirror any of those examples precisely.
He has not relied on sustained bunch sprint dominance in the way Cipollini or Cavendish did, nor has he extended his relevance through broad stage race leadership in the manner that underpinned Valverde’s long span of winning seasons. Instead, Matthews has consistently won from selective scenarios, particularly uphill sprints and reduced group finishes where fatigue resistance, positioning and timing matter as much as outright speed.
That profile is significant in the context of this chase. It suggests Matthews’ ability to add further winning seasons is not dependent on a single race type or sprint environment, but on remaining competitive in races that naturally thin the field before the finish. His longevity has therefore been built through adaptability across terrains, teams and evolving race dynamics rather than through one dominant formula.
What comes next
The arithmetic is now clear. Matthews requires one more winning season to draw level with Cipollini and Cavendish on 17, and two further seasons with at least one victory to match Valverde’s benchmark of 18. There are no guarantees that he will reach either mark, but the pathway is clearly defined. Castellon moved Matthews closer to the top of cycling’s longevity table, and each additional season in which he finds a way to win will sharpen that pursuit further.