Preview. Remco Evenepoel has jumped to the lead of the UAE Tour as Einer Rubio won the first climber clash, but stage 4 will be a treat for the sprinters who have their loved flat roads back.
Stage 4 sees the riders back into purely flat roads for another bunch sprint. It's another pan-flat day, just as the race usually delivers, and a reason why so many sprinters come down to the UAE. This one particularly rolls into Dubai, where the finale will specifically be at the Dubai Harbour.
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Stage 4: Al Shindagha - Dubai Harbour, 174 kilometers
It's far from a technical finale, as the riders make their way through the desert's urbanization. There will be a long right-hander with 800 meters to go leaving the riders in the finishing straight. It's a simple finish, leadouts will have only their power and strategy to blame if the plan doesn't work.
Stage 4 Finale
The Weather
UAE Tour 2023 stage 4 map
Some western breeze, however not strong enough to create echelons likely. Most of the stage taking place within Dubai will also help the peloton stay more calm as they won't find as many exposed roads.
The Favourites
Tim Merlier - Having taken the win on the opening day there are good arguments for the Belgian. Motivation is high in the Soudal - Quick-Step camp and Merlier will be the only sprinter without the pressure. This could propel him to a second wind, but many others will want to take it too.
Caleb Ewan - Usually, Ewan struggles a lot in heavily battled leadout fights. However with the addition of Jacopo Guarnieri to the leadout and a focused lineup he may overcome this. With headwind in the finish straight and having shown his speed on day 1 he is very much a favourite to take it this time around.
In all honesty luck may play a big role here. Although some teams have superior leadouts, the level is extremely high and there are several more riders who have the power to take a sprint in on a day like this. Mark Cavendish has already shown good signs on the opening day, Olav Kooij and Phil Bauhaus also rode in the front group on stage 1 but lacked the speed in the final dash to the line.
Arnaud Démare, Fernando Gaviria, Sam Bennet, Sam Welsford and Dylan Groenewegen can all realistically take the win as well, the latter mainly as he finds himself with a full leadout and Luka Mezgec who has a strong and powerful role.
The list also prolong into winning sprinters such as Gerben Thijssen and Juan Sebastian Molano. Marijn van den Berg, Elia Viviani, Itamar Einhorn, Arvid de Kleijn and Emils Liepins are all outsider for a strong result as well - who on a regular race would be among contenders for a possible podium.
Prediction UAE Tour 2023 stage 4:
*** Tim Merlier, Caleb Ewan, S
** Dylan Groenewegen, Arnaud Démare, Mark Cavendish, Olav Kooij
* Phil Bauhaus, Fernando Gaviria, Sam Welsford, Gerben Thijssen, Arvid de Kleijn
** Dylan Groenewegen, Arnaud Démare, Mark Cavendish, Olav Kooij
* Phil Bauhaus, Fernando Gaviria, Sam Welsford, Gerben Thijssen, Arvid de Kleijn
Pick: Caleb Ewan
Rúben SilvaEditor-in-Chief
A founding contributor to CyclingUpToDate since its launch in January 2022, Ruben Silva has played a central role in shaping the site’s editorial direction and long-term growth. Before joining the project, he built his experience through independent blogging at Echelons Hub and by producing race previews for Ciclismo Internacional, developing a strong analytical voice rooted in daily engagement with professional cycling.
Beyond editorial work, he has been closely involved in the expansion and coordination of CyclingUpToDate’s wider network, helping establish and support sister platforms across multiple languages. This includes ongoing collaboration with CiclismoAlDia (Spanish), CiclismoAtual (Portuguese), WielrennenUpToDate (Dutch), and RadsportAktuell (German), contributing to a shared editorial vision and consistent international coverage.
He also helps oversee editorial governance across the network, setting standards for accuracy and consistency and coordinating updates or corrections when needed.
Originally from the Porto metropolitan area in Portugal, he holds a bachelor’s degree in Geography. His path into cycling journalism was shaped not through formal media training, but through independent reporting, community engagement, and sustained on-the-ground involvement in the sport.
Over the course of his career, he has conducted approximately 100 interviews across road cycling and cyclocross, ranging from one-to-one conversations and online formats to press conferences and on-site pre- and post-race coverage. His interviews include leading riders, team managers, and prominent figures within cycling media: Tadej Pogacar, Jonas Vingegaard, Mathieu van der Poel, Primoz Roglic, Wout van Aert, Joao Almeida and Tom Pidcock; managers like Patrick Lefevere and Joxean Matxin; and YouTube personality Bryan Kennedy (BKXC)...
Within 18 months of launch, he helped grow CyclingUpToDate’s English-language platform into one of the most-read cycling news websites, built entirely from the ground up. As both a professional journalist and lifelong cycling enthusiast, his focus remains on delivering accurate, timely, and well-contextualized coverage.
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