Now look at the silver streak itself. In Kigali, he was the
clear best of the rest as Pogacar repeated the road title, one week later at
the Europeans he again dropped a strong field while unable to close the last
gap to the Slovenian’s long-range move, and at Lombardia he finished 1:48
behind a solo-winning Pogacar and 1:26 ahead of the next man, Michael Storer.
That recurring pattern, second to Pogacar, clear of everyone else, says his
baseline is already a long way ahead of the deepest fields on the calendar. It
narrows the 2026 job to one problem: closing one gap, not many.
It’s also worth remembering how uneven his 2025 foundations
were. He missed a proper winter after that December 2024 training collision
with a vehicle, fractures to rib, scapula and hand, and the knock-on effects
rippled into the spring. He even left the Tour de France on Stage 14 after an
attritional fortnight, where he clearly was not in his best shape in the
mountains.
If this is the version of Evenepoel that emerges from a
compromised build and a mid-summer reset, then the version with a clean run is
the one that should scare everyone. There’s no denying he has a lot on his
hands to take the next step to Pogacar, and Vingegaard too. But, if anyone can,
Evenepoel can.
The gap to the rest is real
What impressed me in all three losses was not what he
couldn’t do to Pogacar, it’s what he did do to everyone else. Kigali’s podium
(Evenepoel silver, Healy bronze) flattered no one, the European podium
(Evenepoel silver, Paul Seixas bronze) came after hard, repeated selections,
and Lombardia’s gap was emphatic. Across different terrains and race
architectures, he proved he can already out-endure and out-position almost the
entire elite field. That’s the bedrock you want before you switch teams and try
to add the last five percent to your game.
What he needs next (and why Red Bull – BORA looks like the
right lab)
Endurance on long climbs: When Pogacar’s winning
moves came, they came after hours of cumulative load, Passo di Ganda at
Lombardia, the late circuits in Rwanda and Drôme-Ardèche. Remco’s ceiling is
plenty high; the marginal gains now live in fatigue resistance on 30–45-minute
climbs after 5+ hours. That is training-block solvable (think altitude, volume,
low-glycogen sessions timed around race blocks), but it’s also a team-process
problem: pacing, positioning, bottle discipline, and not spending pennies
early.
Red Bull – BORA – hansgrohe has the roster depth and
high-mountain expertise (Roglic, Hindley, Vlasov profiles within that system)
to test him in the exact terrain that decides Tours and Lombardias. That’s not
to say the gap will be easy to close, but he will certainly be able to make
improvements at Red Bull.
Grand Tour durability: 2025 showed bursts, the Tour
ITT win level, the Dauphiné and Romandie time trials, but the three-week arc
never stabilized. The assignment for 2026 is boring by design: build a boringly
consistent Remco for days 12–20. That means heat and altitude protocols, and a
team hierarchy in the mountains that prevents death-by-a-thousand
accelerations. He doesn’t need to reinvent himself, he needs to finish the
third week with the same engine he starts with, or at least more in the tank.
Evenepoel often has one or two days during a grand tour where he doesn’t look
himself. That’s what made his 2024 Tour so impressive, he needs that level of
consistency again with a few extra percentages in the mountains.
Stage-race habits: He hasn’t won an overall stage
race since the 2024 Volta ao Algarve (February 18, 2024). That’s a long gap for
a rider of his class, and it’s the simplest morale and process win available in
early 2026: pick a one-week race with multiple climbing days, bring the full
train, and dominate the race. Starting the BORA era by re-normalizing GC
control for seven days will pay off when the race is 21 days. The palmarès
doesn’t need it; the psychology and the systems do.
Zero drama: Every conversation about his ceiling is
contingent on health. The 2024 vehicle-door crash stole his winter, compressed
his spring, and left fingerprints on his Tour in 2025. The biggest “gain” he
can make this winter is the absence of bad news. That means conservative
traffic management on training, defensive positioning in sketchy race phases,
and a calendar that escalates sensibly instead of theatrically. Nothing will
help more than a quiet, uneventful January–March that lets the physiology catch
up to his ambition.
Why the three silvers are encouraging
At Lombardia, he finished one minute forty-eight behind
Pogacar, and more than a minute clear of third place. At the Europeans, he was
the only rider who could even animate the chase. In Kigali, he out-kicked a
world-class cast for silver after six hours on violent terrain. Those are not
“nearly man” performances, they are elite outcomes in fields where one outlier
is currently rewriting what “peak” looks like. If the rival you must beat is
running arguably the hottest season of the century, your job is to make sure
that everyone else is behind you while you close the last gap in increments. He
did exactly that, three weeks in a row.
The move itself matters
This off-season he changes jerseys. A fresh environment can
be catalytic, new altitude camps, new TT protocols (even if he’s already
world-class), new mountain guardrails, and a GC structure designed around him.
Red Bull – BORA – hansgrohe have already signalled that remit: build a stronger
Grand Tour team around Remco to attack Pogacar/Vingegaard.
The talent and budget are there, the three silvers show the
engine is still humming. The key is to arrive at spring without a detour
through rehab. Evenepoel will have to prove he is the strongest at Red Bull,
ahead of the young German superstar Florian Lipowtiz. But, if he is as talented
as I believe, he will be able to do that.
If I’m Evenepoel, I’m frustrated, of course I am. But I’m
also seeing the shape of the problem clearly for the first time: one rider is
ahead, and not by much; everyone else is behind. Add a winter without
interruptions, win an early stage race to set the tone, build an
altitude-backed endurance layer for long climbs, and keep the bike upright.
That’s a short, achievable to-do list for someone who just wore rainbow stripes
again in a discipline where perfection is measurable to the second. The silvers
are not a ceiling. They’re the on-ramp.