COLUMN | Five conclusions from Giro d'Italia opening weekend

The Giro d'Italia had it's Grande Partenza abroad this year, distant from it's borders as the peloton headed to Hungary for three different stages, with very different outcomes. Mathieu van der Poel won the punchy summit finish on the opening day, and maintained the lead as Simon Yates stormed to a surprise win in the time-trial on day two. Mark Cavendish won the bunch sprint on the third stage, however there is more to take from these three days of racing...

#1 - Mathieu van der Poel is not the absolute leader of Alpecin-Fenix

It was clear from early on that Alpecin-Fenix had the goal of taking Mathieu van der Poel to the pink jersey on the opening day, as the team was the first to pick up the responsability of the chase in the peloton. The Dutchman was the overwhelming favourite for the opening stage, and confirmed his status by taking the win in the final reduced bunch sprint.

He's kept it the following day, but the third day of racing revealed the team have other ambitions besides supporting him. As Tim Merlier was forced to miss the race due to an elbow injury sustained at Paris-Roubaix, the sprinter role has been filled by Jakub Mareczko. The Italian sprinter is a new addition to the team this year, however evidently he has a lot of trust as the team - and van der Poel himself - led him out to the finale, where he finished fifth.

Despite having a big lead in the points classification, van der Poel chose not to contest the sprint, hence taking a blow to his ambitions in the classification. It seems as if the team is not looking to protect that lead, and will instead eye both riders in their respective suiting stages.

#2 - Rick Zabel proves that simple tactics are often the most effective

Looking at the initial startlist, not many would've foreseen Rick Zabel to be one of the headliners of the Giro d'Italia so far. The German sprinter, part of Israel - Premier Tech's leadout for Giacomo Nizzolo, has taken on his own goals and will be arriving in Italy with the climber's jersey on his body.

In what was a very simple tactic, Zabel opted to take the first section of the stage two time-trial easy, in order to fight for the points available at the hilltop finish for the fastest ascent to the line. In the exact same way as he did in 2020, the points he earned by being the fastest in the small categorized ascents in the initial time-trials have gotten him in the KOM jersey. An incredibly effective method, as it cost him no more effort than other riders who had their own goals to ride a fast time.

On the third stage, after going on the attack in a 4th category ascent with 12 kilometers to go, he built up the advantage he needed at the end of the day to travel to the podium.

#3 - Despite being short, the 9.2-kilometer time-trial will dictate how the GC is played for a week

Just barely outside the definition of a prologue, the individual effort the riders undergone in Budapest was very short and technical, however it nevertheless created meaningful difference for riders who were not on a good day. Looking at the top riders, the differences are quite shallow, but when we take a look at the bottom of the stage classification we are able to verify some victims of the race against the clock.

Emanuel Buchmann crashed and lost 57 seconds to Simon Yates, however Miguel Ángel López - one of the main contenders for the race win - has lost 42 seconds with a clean run. Giulio Ciccone and Iván Sosa were also victims, with 50 seconds and 1:23 minutes lost respectively. In the bigger picture, it won't be crucial, however it has automatically put these four riders in a position where they are more prone to attack on the opening week.

Stages four [to Mount Etna] and seven [to Potenza] hence become more likely to be the scene of aggressive racing, due to the time that Simon Yates has put on them back in Budapest.

#4 - Drone Hopper - Androni Giocattoli are the most combative team in the race

It is traditional for the national Pro Teams to be heavily represented in breakaways throughout all Grand Tours - with no exception. At the start of this year's Giro d'Italia, three teams struck out as clear contenders to be filling this role: Drone Hopper - Androni Giocattoli; Bardiani - CSF - Faizanè and EOLO-Kometa. However, when the flag was waved in the first kilometers of the race, only two riders of the same team dared to lead the day for it's grand majority.

Mattia Bais and Filippo Tagliani (Drone Hopper - Androni Giocattoli) had several hours of free sponsor exposure for their team, in what is arguably the most important race of any of these teams' seasons. Both other teams, despite having little chances of fighting for both stage win and overall classification, have opted to miss out on an easy opportunity - as there was not a single minute of reaction in the peloton regarding the attack.

On stage three, the duo once again attacked, bringing in exposure, alongside points for the intermediate sprint classification, the total breakaway kilometers and the combative prize - each one with their own prize money and trip to the podium at some point in the race. They were joined by EOLO-Kometa's Samuele Rivi, however Bardiani have remained absent from the moves, in an enigmatic choice of tactics.

#5 - In a race decided by minutes, the GC contenders battle for every second

Perhaps a no brainer, but every effort will matter in the end of three weeks. Whilst the scenes of last year - where Egan Bernal and Remco Evenepoel wildly sprinted for a few seconds in the opening week - did not repeat, the opening day immediately saw the GC riders on their toes and creating little splits between them. Pello Bilbao was the biggest winner on the day, taking four seconds on the road and six in bonus seconds to most of the competition.

However, Wilco Kelderman and Richard Carapaz also went all-out in the sprint to Visegrád, which has seen him gain those almost invisible four seconds which can be lost in the matter of a minute when the high-mountain stages come. Psychology is very important in cycling, and many riders are willing to go all-out to make sure they are never on the back foot, however it is crucial for the riders to be able to manage three weeks of intense pressure.