
The Tour de France is about to start. It may just be the most complicated pro race to win, but most will have that hope, we analyze five riders which enter the race under the radar but have chances of achieving great success.
Nº5 - Jordi Meeus
Jordi Meeus has already been approached in our analysis of riders with something to prove, and is equally a rider to follow during the race results wise. He comes in as a last-minute substitute for Sam Bennett. Whilst many will look into the BORA - hansgrohe lineup and have the Irishman's absence and Jai Hindley in the lead to focus, the Belgian has here a gold opportunity to prove his worth, and assert himself as the team's new head sprinter.
Meeus is a rider who doesn't yet have a win at World Tour level but has proven on many occasions to be able to sprint with the best. What makes him such an interesting rider to follow here is that BORA have brought their best leadout men into the Tour and amidst what are expected to be chaotic sprints, the Belgian fast man could actually find himself winning at the Tour de France, whilst a lot of the attention will be on the likes of Jasper Philipsen, Fabio Jakobsen, Mark Cavendish and Wout van Aert.
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Nº4 - Maxim van Gils
Lotto Dstny have put most of their chips in the sprints as they look to back Caleb Ewan into a first Grand Tour win in over two years. Away from those responsibilities is Maxim van Gils. As is the case with other Belgian teams Alpecin-Deceuninck and Soudal - Quick-Step, the team does not bring climbers, it focuses on it's sprinters whilst providing it's puncheurs and classics riders freedom to chase wins, mostly through breakaways. Van Gils is a good example of that, the 23-year old will make his debut at the Tour and will be a contender for a stage win, mostly in the hilly days.
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Although he abandoned the Criterium du Dauphiné early on, he finished fifth in the opening two days. He was also fourth in the opening day of the Volta a Catalunya where Roglic and Evenepoel sprinted against each other. Over other hilly races he's consistently performed throughout the year. He also rode to seventh at Amstel Gold Race, eighth at Flèche Wallone and 11th at Liège-Bastogne-Liège. He could prove to be Lotto's best weapon if he's used right.
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Nº3 - Phil Bauhaus
The second sprinter on the list is Phil Bauhaus. Bahrain - Victorious have not selected the German by chance into it's Tour lineup, it was a planned move. Bahrain is an interesting lineup as it has four climbers headlined by Mikel Landa and Pello Bilbao who will want to fight for a high GC, then two brilliant puncheurs to hunt stages on the hilly days in Matej Mohoric and Fred Wright, but yet it has another leader.
Bauhaus comes in for his Tour de France debut actually at the age of 28. Looking at Bahrain's lineup it made little sense to add a pure sprinter among so much talent, but that's evidence of how much trust the team put into him, adding that his leadout man Nikias Arndt will be present. As is the case with Meeus, Bauhaus will also not be named a man to beat in any sprint, but can thrive amidst the chaos that is expected. Over 2022 and 2023 his wins were exclusively at World Tour level and here he could take a step in his career, after triumphs at Tirreno-Adriatico, Tour de Pologne and Tour Down Under.
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Nº2 - Rui Costa
The 11th Tour de France for Rui Costa. The Portuguese rider has won three stages in the past, however the last was already 10 years ago. So much has happened since as he became World Champion, attempted to go for Grand Tour overall classification, changed teams and settled into domestique roles, and now has been reborn with a transfer into Intermarché - Circus - Wanty. A match made in heaven it seems, as the veteran has won the Trofeo Calvia, the Volta a Comunitat Valenciana and then rode to fourth at Strade Bianche.
A lot of racing saw him then struggle later in the spring, but after some rest and preparation he's soared back into form, coming close to winning the final mountain stage of the Tour de Suisse where he's thrived in the past, coming as the breakaway's best on a high-mountains day - not the best suited to him. Tons of experience, full freedom to hunt wins and plenty hilly and mountainous days where he can join breakaways mean many opportunities. The 36-year old has serious chances of winning if he finds the same form he had earlier in the year.
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Nº1 - Antonio Pedrero
The oldest debutant in the Tour de France, Antonio Pedrero races the Grand Boucle for the first time at 31 years of age. It is no surprise also why he was chosen, Movistar Team are keen on supporting Enric Mas' ambitions for the overall classification and they have selected an '8' which can climb very well both in terms of quantity and quality. Pedrero is one of them, he recently had an extraordinary performance in the final day of the Criterium du Dauphiné, being the rider who answered to the attack of Adam Yates and Jonas Vingegaard - then later cracking in the final climb as he went all in for the stage win.
Form is on his side. Pedrero is an inconsistent rider but one of tremendous climbing capacity on his day. In the 2019 Giro he played a crucial support role for Richard Carapaz' victory, whilst over the past few years he's net some dominant wins in smaller races. If he finds his day he could win a mountain stage, that would be an impressive feat but one that for me wouldn't come as a huge surprise.
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Rúben SilvaEditor-in-Chief
A founding contributor to CyclingUpToDate since its launch in January 2022, Ruben Silva has played a central role in shaping the site’s editorial direction and long-term growth. Before joining the project, he built his experience through independent blogging at Echelons Hub and by producing race previews for Ciclismo Internacional, developing a strong analytical voice rooted in daily engagement with professional cycling.
Beyond editorial work, he has been closely involved in the expansion and coordination of CyclingUpToDate’s wider network, helping establish and support sister platforms across multiple languages. This includes ongoing collaboration with CiclismoAlDia (Spanish), CiclismoAtual (Portuguese), WielrennenUpToDate (Dutch), and RadsportAktuell (German), contributing to a shared editorial vision and consistent international coverage.
He also helps oversee editorial governance across the network, setting standards for accuracy and consistency and coordinating updates or corrections when needed.
Originally from the Porto metropolitan area in Portugal, he holds a bachelor’s degree in Geography. His path into cycling journalism was shaped not through formal media training, but through independent reporting, community engagement, and sustained on-the-ground involvement in the sport.
Over the course of his career, he has conducted approximately 100 interviews across road cycling and cyclocross, ranging from one-to-one conversations and online formats to press conferences and on-site pre- and post-race coverage. His interviews include leading riders, team managers, and prominent figures within cycling media: Tadej Pogacar, Jonas Vingegaard, Mathieu van der Poel, Primoz Roglic, Wout van Aert, Joao Almeida and Tom Pidcock; managers like Patrick Lefevere and Joxean Matxin; and YouTube personality Bryan Kennedy (BKXC)...
Within 18 months of launch, he helped grow CyclingUpToDate’s English-language platform into one of the most-read cycling news websites, built entirely from the ground up. As both a professional journalist and lifelong cycling enthusiast, his focus remains on delivering accurate, timely, and well-contextualized coverage.
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- many people advise him to grow slowly and rather do giro and/or vuelta instead of tdf. but i can totally understand that he is not satisfied with taking over once pogi declines, but instead beat him in his prime. so if he goes for tdf again, i‘m all for it. let‘s hope that pogi recovers soon!Ketterechts07-11-2026
- So gracious to offer something no-one would be prepared to pay for. The Giro is not the Tour and doesn’t command the same interest or attract the same “elite” (those willing to pay to be a part of something they consider has ego boosting potential). Roadside viewing will always largely remain free for everyone outside circuits. Introduction of a symbolic entrance to mountain climbs is worthy of exploration. Asking 1-2€ isn’t going to repulse real fans (most will spend 50-100€ on their outing that day all things included) but will prevent a portion of the total knobhead thrillseekers who will join in any large gathering as long as it’s free, just because they’re attracted to crowds, without which it it difficult for them to work up their anti-social behaviour.Jumpyjohn07-11-2026
- How is radio going to help when someone went over a cliff or bridge or off the roadside into a forest unnoticed and is laying there unconscious?Jumpyjohn07-11-2026
- Yep, next we’ll be accusing F1 drivers of avoiding Le Mans.Jumpyjohn07-11-2026
- But on what is that opinion based? Are you holding him to a different standard than others? Are you saying he should do learn to like something he doesn’t Are you saying he hasn’t achieved enough Are you saying he pretends to be better than his results? It’s actually a really strange opinion to oust if you consider it objectively or rationally. Try applying it to others or yourself by asking if not EVERYONE should then be doing more? Nobody in athletics or swimming gets criticism for not expanding their repertoire when a rival or someone else does. In fact, most who move to another event get accused of running from their rival. Opinions are boring, the reasons behind them are what count.Jumpyjohn07-11-2026
- for a medical chief to throw things like is just bad. There are already radios which were banned for spectacle. allow radios. Gps trackers are not a complete solutionabstractengineer07-11-2026
- Yeah man...PogiSloFans07-11-2026
- any rider less than 25 whether they are really ready for the position of leadership of GT is probably not the case. I think Pogi himself suffered when he was defeated by Jonas in the TDF twice. But that would be the team's job to ensure support so that they can bounce back. It requires a team and time to get back up and win after getting knocked down.abstractengineer07-11-2026
- I'm very glad he got the big late Quickstep Vuelta win and I hope he has a few left for Euskaltel-Euskadi.flyer07-11-2026
- My memories of Ivan Basso aren't good but I liked his sister Elisa ok.flyer07-11-2026
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21 stages. 21 battles. It begins Saturday. 21 étapes. 21 batailles. Début des hostilités samedi. 💛 #TDF2023
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