Visma expected Pogacar’s explosiveness to make the opening collection of shorter climbs and punchier finishes particularly difficult. Their belief before the Tour was that Vingegaard would become more dangerous once the race moved towards longer climbs, sustained mountain efforts and the accumulated fatigue of the final week. “We’re really looking forward to it,” Plugge said.
Visma still believe the race will come back towards Vingegaard
The 3:36 deficit leaves Visma with little margin for another defeat, but Plugge insists the team have not been forced away from the strategy prepared before the Grand Depart. “Everything’s fine,” he said. “We’ve got a plan for that.”
Plugge did not reveal what that plan involves, although Visma’s approach in previous Tours has generally relied on making mountain stages difficult over a prolonged period rather than waiting for one decisive acceleration. That requires collective strength around Vingegaard and opportunities to place Pogacar under pressure before the final climb.
There are already complications. Matteo Jorgenson, one of Vingegaard’s most important mountain support riders,
has been isolated from the rest of the team after falling ill. Visma have said the American is improving, but his condition remains an important factor as the race reaches the terrain on which the team expect to launch their challenge.
Vingegaard has also taken precautions throughout the Tour, regularly wearing a face mask around crowded start and finish areas after illness disrupted his previous two appearances. Keeping the Dane healthy and restoring Jorgenson to full strength will be essential if Visma are to execute the collective race Plugge appears to have in mind.
Vingegaard trails Pogacar by 3:36 in the GC
A deficit too large for patience alone
Visma can no longer depend on bonus seconds or minor gains. Vingegaard needs to take substantial time from Pogacar, while avoiding further losses to a rider who has so far appeared stronger whenever the race has demanded an immediate response.
Pogacar’s lead also changes the tactical balance. UAE Team Emirates – XRG can defend from a position of strength, leaving Visma with the responsibility to create the difficult and unpredictable racing they need. “We’ll fight with everything we’ve got,” Plugge promised.
The challenge is not simply to attack Pogacar, but to find a form of racing in which Vingegaard can expose a weakness that has not yet appeared. The longer climbs and heavier mountain stages may provide that opportunity, but Visma must first ensure they reach them with enough collective strength to make their plan possible.
Plugge refuses to surrender yellow-jersey ambition
Visma’s public target remains victory rather than consolidation of second place. Plugge’s confidence rests on the belief that the opening half of the Tour favoured Pogacar and that the balance can still shift as the race becomes more attritional.
That conviction will soon face its clearest test. Vingegaard enters the decisive phase 3:36 behind, Jorgenson is working his way back from illness and Pogacar has given no sign that his form is beginning to fade.
Visma insist those circumstances have not invalidated their plan. They have, however, removed almost all room for it to fail.