Another summit finish at the 2024 Tour de France and yet again, Jonas Vingegaard and Tadej Pogacar came to the fore on stage 15. On this occasion it was Pogacar who prevailed and with a massive time gap, the Slovenian may have just won the Tour.
The racing was quickly turned fierce early on stage 15 as an infernal fight for the breakaway took place. In the end, a group of around 20 riders went clear. Among them were sprinters Biniam Girmay and Michael Matthews who had a bit of drama at the intermediate sprint as the Eritrean took maximum points before later being relegated to 3rd place.
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Once the second climb of the day began however, the lead group was quickly dwindled with both Girmay and Matthews caught and passed by the peloton. Still up ahead of the race however, were the likes of Enric Mas, Simon Yates, Richard Carapaz, Lenny Martinez, Jai Hindley, Guillaume Martin, Laurens De Plus and Ben Healy among others.
As the breakaway were approaching the penultimate climb of the day, their number totalled 15 riders. With Team Visma | Lease a Bike setting a controlling pace on the front of the peloton behind however, the leader's advantage was only around three and a half minutes. Just before the bottom of the climb however, the break began to split up with Red Bull - BORA - hansgrohe breaking things up and getting three riders into a lead group of seven.
On the climb, the trio of Jai Hindley, Enric Mas and Laurens De Plus proved strongest of the break, with EF Education - EasyPost duo Richard Carapaz and Ben Healy working hard together to keep contact. With 2.8km of the climb to go, 62km for the stage, Carapaz linked back to the leaders, thanks in part to Healy's service. With just under 50km to go, another rider managed to join the lead group as Tobias Johannessen joined the party. Way behind, there was growing concern for the grupetto in regards to the time cut. The group including Mark Cavendish among others were already over 32 minutes down at 50km to go.
As the 16km final climb of Plateau de Beille began, the leading quintet's advantage over the Maillot Jaune group was 2:35 with Team Visma | Lease a Bike and Wilco Kelderman still setting the pace. Once the climbing began, Matteo Jorgenson was soon taking over at the front of the bunch and the gap to the leaders was soon diminished to just 1:27.
With 13.6km to go however, perhaps sensing the momentum swinging against them, Carapaz launched the first attack from the break on the final climb. The Olympic champion wasn't able to snap the elastic to his rivals though. As Jorgenson's work continued to obliterate the GC group, the leaders' cooperation had completely extinguished. With the time gap dropping to below a minute, Mas was the next to make a move, with Carapaz and Johannessen on his wheel.
At just over 10km to go though, the breakaway's hopes were all but diminished as Jorgenson pulled over and Jonas Vingegaard attacked at Tadej Pogacar straight on his rival's wheel. With 9.3km to go, the duo had caught Mas and Carapaz although to be fair to him, the latter managed to hold the wheel. Around 15-20 seconds further down the climb, Remco Evenepoel was picking his own way through the remainder of the breakaway, attempting to limit his losses.
At just over 5km to go however, Pogacar attacked Vingegaard and began to ride clear solo. As Pogacar continued to put the power down, the gap was growing rather alarmingly for Vingegaard. By the time the race leader reached the final kilometre, the Dane was nearly a minute down with Evenepoel now two and a half minutes back.
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