So, let’s dive straight in.
Palmares comparison
Van der Poel, who is now 30 years old, stands alone among
the three as an active rider with the chance to further expand his palmarès.
Born in Belgium but representing the Netherlands, he has, over the past three
seasons, reached new heights on the road while also continuing to add victories
in other cycling disciplines. In 2023, he claimed the road race world title in
Glasgow.
The following year, he added a gravel world title, and his
long-standing dominance in cyclocross brought his tally to a record-equalling
seven titles in that discipline. In total, that gives Van der Poel nine rainbow
jerseys across three cycling formats, a feat that illustrates that he is indeed
one of the most talented people to have ever ridden a bike. His ambitions are
far from over, as he openly admits his goal is to add a mountain bike world
title, which would make him, alongside Pauline Ferrand-Prévot, a world champion
in four different disciplines.
We may never see a multi-discipline talent like Van der Poel ever again
His Monuments record is equally impressive. Van der Poel has
won Milano–Sanremo twice, a feat neither Sagan nor Boonen managed. He has taken
Paris–Roubaix and the Tour of Flanders three times each, giving him a total of
eight Monuments. Beyond these, he has claimed victories at the E3 Saxo Classic,
Amstel Gold, where he delivered an unforgettable victory in 2019, and Strade
Bianche. On the Grand Tour front, he has two Tour de France stage wins and one
Giro d’Italia stage win, as well as having worn both the yellow and pink
jerseys during those races.
Peter Sagan’s career takes a different shape to Van der Poel’s.
While his Monuments tally stands at two, one Tour of Flanders and one
Paris–Roubaix, he stands above the rest of history in terms of his unrivalled
success in the Tour de France points classification. He has won the green
jersey a record seven times, collected 12 Tour stage victories, and also
claimed the Giro d’Italia points classification alongside two stage wins. At
the Vuelta a España, he added four stages to his tally.
Sagan is also a three-time road world champion, securing
consecutive titles from 2015 to 2017, a streak unmatched in the modern era. His
early years in cycling included a junior world championship in mountain biking
and a cyclocross world championship medal at junior level, but unlike Van der
Poel, these disciplines did not remain part of his professional career success
in the senior ranks.
Boonen’s record is focused exclusively on the road, but
within that arena, he dominated his era. The 2005 road race world champion, he
won the Tour of Flanders three times and Paris–Roubaix a record four times,
cementing his status as the king of the cobbles. His Grand Tour record includes
the Tour de France points classification in 2007, six Tour stage wins in total,
and two Vuelta a España stage wins. Boonen’s seven Monuments put him just one
behind Van der Poel and well ahead of Sagan, and all came in the two most
punishing cobbled races on the calendar
Sagan was unbeatable in the points classification during the 2010s
What do the numbers say?
When the numbers are compared, Van der Poel holds the edge
in both variety and breadth. His eight Monuments come from three different
races, compared to Sagan and Boonen’s focus on two. His nine world titles,
though spread across disciplines, far outstrip Sagan’s three and Boonen’s one.
Critics might argue that cyclocross world titles do not carry the same prestige
as road world championships, given the smaller competitive pool, but Van der
Poel’s decade-long battle with Wout van Aert has provided a rivalry of rare
intensity. Only in recent years has he consistently pulled ahead of his Belgian
counterpart in the cross field.
In Grand Tours, Sagan is unquestionably ahead. His 18 stage
wins across the Tour, Giro, and Vuelta, combined with his nine points
classification jerseys, make him the standout rider in this area. Boonen’s
eight stage wins put him ahead of Van der Poel’s three, but far behind Sagan’s
total.
The head-to-head numbers tell part of the story. Sagan
finished his career with 121 professional wins, just one behind Boonen’s 122.
Van der Poel currently sits a long way back at 55, but given he is still
competing, the final number remains to be seen. More importantly, a larger
percentage of Van der Poel’s wins have come in major races, reflecting his
focus on cycling’s biggest prizes.
Who faced more difficult competition?
The question of rivals is critical to understanding these
careers. Van der Poel’s list of opponents is formidable: Tadej Pogacar, Julian
Alaphilippe, Wout van Aert, and Mads Pedersen. His ongoing duels with Pogacar
have defined the last few seasons, with the Dutchman emerging as the only
consistent challenger to the Slovenian in 2025. In Tadej Pogacar, Van der Poel
is quite possibly facing the greatest cycling of all time. Not just facing him
either, beating him too, as we saw in Roubaix and Sanremo earlier this year.
Boonen and Cancellara's rivalry is one of cycling's greatest
Boonen’s key rivals during his prime included Fabian
Cancellara, Alessandro Ballan, and Thor Hushovd, specialists in the same types
of races who made every classics campaign an incredible battle. Boone’s rivalry
with Cancellara was the greatest rivalrly of the generation, just before the
Van der Poel – Van Aert rivalry began. While these names brought immense
competition, the depth of all-round ability seen in Van der Poel’s era,
particularly from Pogacar, is arguably greater.
Sagan’s main rivals were found in the sprinters of his
generation, including Mark Cavendish, Elia Viviani and Fernando Gaviria. But,
part of what made Sagan so special was that he was such a unique rider, and that
he did not truly fit the profile of stereotypical sprinter or puncheur.
Verdict
So, who comes out on top in this head to head?
Van der Poel’s case for first place rests on his eight
Monuments from three different races, his nine world titles across multiple
disciplines, and his record against some of the most complete riders in
history. Sagan’s strength lies in his Grand Tour stage wins and his triple road
rainbow jerseys, achievements no other modern rider has matched. Boonen’s
position as the undisputed king of the cobbles secures his place in the
conversation, but the narrower scope of his palmarès places him just behind the
other two.
The ranking, then, is:
1. Mathieu van der Poel
2. Peter Sagan
3. Tom Boonen
Each rider’s greatness is undeniable, but it comes in
different forms. And at the end of the argument, we have found Mathieu van der
Poel to be the number 1. Whilst his grand tour palmares falls beneath the other
two, his success across different races and disciplines is unrivalled in the
men’s peloton.
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comments section below!