“If this was his best level, he’s going to get destroyed at the Tour of Flanders” – Mathieu van der Poel sent brutal warning after Milano-Sanremo collapse

What unfolded on the Cipressa at Milano-Sanremo 2026 was already chaotic on the road. In the aftermath, it has also triggered a far sharper debate about Mathieu van der Poel’s level, with Thijs Zonneveld delivering a stark assessment of what it could mean for the weeks ahead.

Speaking on the In de Waaier podcast, Zonneveld did not hold back in his reading of the race and its implications.

With the Tour of Flanders looming in two weeks, his conclusion was blunt: “For Van der Poel, you have to hope he was really affected by that crash. Because if this was the best Van der Poel, then in two weeks he’s going to get destroyed.”

That warning lands heavily given the context. Van der Poel was not simply beaten in Sanremo. He was part of a sequence of events that saw the race tilt dramatically in Tadej Pogacar’s favour after a crash just before the Cipressa.

Pogacar hitting the deck at that moment looked, at first glance, like the worst possible scenario for UAE Team Emirates-XRG. “The absolute worst thing that could happen at that moment,” Zonneveld said.

Yet the chaos that followed shifted the dynamic in a way that ultimately worked against Van der Poel. Crucially, he too was caught up in the disruption. While he returned to the front relatively quickly, the effort required to do so came at a cost.

Zonneveld pointed to the key difference in how both riders rejoined the race. “Van der Poel is brought back by Philipsen 500 metres before the Cipressa, and then he has to position himself at the front on his own.”

By contrast, Pogacar was guided back into position by his team, with Brandon McNulty playing a central role in delivering him to the front at exactly the right moment.

That contrast mattered. One rider was being reinserted into the race with support and structure. The other was forced into a longer, more exposed effort just as the decisive phase began.

The consequence of that effort was not immediate, but it was decisive. According to Zonneveld, it fundamentally altered the nature of the Cipressa. “Because of that, the Cipressa for Van der Poel became not nine or ten minutes, but an effort of fourteen or fifteen minutes.”

That shift played directly into Pogacar’s hands. Rather than a short, explosive climb where Van der Poel’s punch could be decisive, the race became a prolonged effort designed to drain him.

From there, Pogacar executed his plan with precision. “You can see that Pogacar rides so hard on the descent of the Cipressa that Van der Poel is never comfortable in the wheel. He wants to make the effort as long and as hard as possible, without any moments of recovery.”

The objective was clear. Remove the Dutchman’s ability to produce a decisive acceleration later in the race. It worked.

The most striking element of Zonneveld’s analysis is not just what happened, but what it might mean. Pogacar, despite crashing, still managed to produce an even faster Cipressa effort than in previous editions.

That underlines the intensity of his performance, but it also sharpens the question around Van der Poel. “Not only did his race become harder, but Van der Poel’s race became harder as well. And that is exactly what Pogacar was looking for.”

In that scenario, the race moved away from explosiveness and into pure endurance. And in that arena, Pogacar proved untouchable.

Which brings the focus firmly onto the next major battleground. The Tour of Flanders is looming, and the expectation is that Van der Poel will once again go head-to-head with Pogacar.

Zonneveld’s warning cuts straight through that anticipation. If Sanremo represented Van der Poel at his current best, then the challenge ahead may be far greater than expected. It is a harsh conclusion, but one rooted in how the race unfolded. And with the Classics campaign only just beginning, it ensures that the conversation around Van der Poel’s condition is far from settled.