That line alone sets the tone. Not a scenario where Pogacar rides clear. Not another long range solo. A sprint. A direct duel.
A very specific claim
Prudhomme did not stop at the headline vision. His reasoning cuts straight to the heart of how Liège is actually won. “Whatever the attacks, I believe that Paul Seixas won’t be distanced on La Redoute or La Roche aux Faucons.”
Those are not throwaway references. They are the decisive points of the race, the terrain where Pogacar has built his recent victories. In both 2024 and 2025, he used La Redoute as the launchpad to break the race apart and ride clear to victory.
To suggest that Paul Seixas can hold that wheel is to suggest something far more significant than promise. It is to place him directly into Pogacar’s winning script.
Paul Seixas at Itzulia Basque Country 2026
Pogacar’s Liège blueprint
Pogacar is already a three-time winner of Liège. His evolution in the race tells its own story.
He first won it in 2021 from a reduced sprint, proving he could handle the chaos of the finale. In the years since, he has turned the race into something more predictable and more brutal. When he wins now, he tends to decide it long before the line, attacking on the steep ramps of La Redoute or later on Roche aux Faucons and simply riding away.
That pattern is why Prudhomme’s words land so strongly. The question at Liège is rarely who is fastest in a sprint. It is who can survive Pogacar when he goes.
A different kind of rival
Seixas’ 2026 season is what makes this conversation possible in the first place. He has already won at the Volta ao Algarve, taken a long-range solo victory at Faun-Ardeche Classic, and finished second to Pogacar at Strade Bianche. Most notably, he dominated Itzulia Basque Country with three stage wins and the overall title, winning in the time trial, in the mountains and in selective uphill finishes.
That range matters. It is what allows him to be discussed in the same breath as Pogacar across very different race types, not just climbing.
Still, the gap between impressing and matching Pogacar at Liège remains enormous. The Slovenian is not arriving as a vulnerable favourite. He is arriving as the reference point of the entire spring, having already conquered the one Monument that had long resisted him and reinforced his dominance in the others.
From survival to sprint?
That is what makes Prudhomme’s “dream” scenario so compelling. If Seixas can indeed survive the accelerations on La Redoute and Roche aux Faucons, the race changes shape entirely. Instead of another Pogacar solo, it becomes a test of nerve and timing in the final kilometres, a situation rarely seen in recent editions.
For now, the gap between the two riders is still defined by results. Pogacar has already beaten Seixas this spring and has built his career on delivering in races like this.
But the fact that Liège is being framed around the possibility of them arriving together says everything about how quickly that perception is shifting.