Thijs Zonneveld explained in his podcast
In de Waaier: “Hindley has to go for it. He has two options, he needs to make up 33 seconds in two mountain stages. He can do that by applying pressure on the Giau, early in the stage, to see whether he can use the climbs to make the difference. The gap is not big, but it is there.”
Hindley urged to attack Arensman
“He is behind, but in this stage there will be almost twenty kilometres above nine per cent today. Weight is simply going to play a major role there. We have had many climbs in this Giro of 6, 7, 8 per cent, and the last one in Carì too. Arensman was good there, but it was never percentages well above ten per cent. Today you will get that.”
But it's about what Hindley does after a potential difference-making attack on Passo giau that matters to the Dutch analyst. With plenty of descending and climbing to come, Hindley could need support in the form of teammates to help pace the rest of the stage - with Felix Gall and Jonas Vingegaard unlikely to give full contribution if they also follow Hindley.
That's where
Giulio Pellizzari comes into the equation. The young italian climber has fallen out of general classification after illness has seen him continue to suffer. However, the German team will hope that if he has recovered following some less strenuous days on the bike, there could be a chance to use Pellizzari as a potential helper.
Pellizzari could help Hindley in podium battle
“Suppose he goes over the top of the Giau with 30 seconds on Arensman, then what? Vingegaard will follow him anyway, and then he will not do very much. Gall will probably be there too, but he will not do much either. Then Hindley needs teammates who were already in the breakaway. A Vlasov, or a Pellizzari.”
He added: “Hindley himself is slightly stronger than Arensman, but he does not have a team that is much better than INEOS. Unless Pellizzari has miracle legs and can ride on the front all the way up the Giau and drop Arensman. It would surprise me, but it is possible.”
Away from Hindley and Arensman's podium duel, Zonneveld expects Felix Gall to once again demonstrate that he is the second best climber in the race. He sees Gall consolidating his podium place barring any incident.
“He does not need to apply pressure on the Giau yet,” the Dutch analyst said. “He is second and only has to spend two days doing what he has done for the last two weeks. He has been better than Arensman and Hindley on every climb. Why would that change now? If he does nothing strange, he will simply finish second.”