In this year’s edition of the Tour, there are very few pure
sprinting days. That could give someone like Mathieu van der Poel, who prefers
more punchy days, a chance to take the jersey.
“It can be really difficult to attack one day and give
everything for points, only to be back in the bunch sprint the next,” he said.
“But he could definitely do it. I've done it seven times, so he can do it
once.”
Sagan emphasized the importance of a smart, measured
approach over sheer strength, something he said Van der Poel already
understands. Recalling his own days, he noted how their team would look to
force selections on climbs before sprints or try to drop rivals early.
“Like Van der Poel, I used to have a few guys around me, and
with them, you don't race hard, but smart,” he said. “Because you can't do
everything.”
But Sagan sees another name in the mix, Jonathan Milan. The
Italian sprinter has impressed in the first week, and Sagan believes he could
be a serious threat.
“I also see Milan as a favorite because he can score a lot
of points in the sprint stages,” Sagan said. “You just don't know if someone is
going to grow in the Tour, or if they're going to get worse. How is someone
going to get through the mountains? Everything is still open.”
Despite all his success, Sagan remains slightly bitter about
the one that got away. In 2017, he was controversially disqualified after a
crash on Stage 4, “It could even have been eight,” he said. “That was a joke,
right?”