The ankle fracture that ended his cross-winter has led to familiar doubts. Some have suggested Van Aert now only wins when others are already exhausted, like in Paris at the end of the Tour. Vanmarcke does not buy that narrative. “He has the talent to come out more when the rest get tired. In principle he has the qualities not to have to wait until the rest are tired.”
Why this injury is not a disaster
Vanmarcke accepts the ankle break is a setback, but he is clear about its scale. “Now he has of course suffered an ankle fracture. That is a small setback, but it was a period of ten days without cycling and he was quickly back doing a training ride of more than a hundred kilometres.”
To him, that is not fundamentally different from a short illness. “That is comparable to a rider who gets sick once. I do not think this will be decisive for his spring.”
The reason lies in what came before it. Van Aert had already completed a full training block from November to December and built race intensity in cyclocross. Then came ten days off. “His body has to recover from that ankle fracture, but just as well his body can refresh and recharge for the next work,” Vanmarcke said. “In my opinion, his spring does not look worse because of it.”
This fits closely with what has come out of the Visma camp. Team staff have already said that Van Aert was back on the bike just three days after surgery and quickly building long training days again. The message has been consistent. He has lost time, but not his season.
Not starting from zero
One reason this debate keeps returning is Van Aert’s recent history. His career has been shaped by comebacks as much as by victories. The heavy crash at the Vuelta, the long rehabilitation, and then a return that still produced wins at the highest level have changed how his seasons should be read.
Vanmarcke’s argument is that this resilience is being forgotten. “People forget what he survived last year,” he said. That is why he believes the best version of Van Aert can still appear. “I certainly believe he can be there at the front in the classics and be at his best if he has a good winter.”
The ankle fracture interrupted that winter, but did not erase it. Ten days without riding does not wipe out months of work. If anything, as Vanmarcke suggests, it may even leave him fresher for what comes next.
For Van Aert, 2026 was always meant to be about resetting after years of disruption. Whether this winter injury proves to be just another obstacle he rides through will become clear in the spring. But if history is any guide, writing him off early has rarely ended well.