“For me, this is really preparation for the
World Championships,” he said ahead of the two Canadian GPs. “I'm here with ambitions as well, but the most important thing for me is to be at my best in two or three weeks.”
Van Avermaet believes that timetable matters when assessing what happened in Montreal. “You cannot forget that jet lag is involved,”
the former Olympic champion and two-time GP Montreal winner told Sporza. “That is still pretty tough. He has also been at altitude, where he will have worked very hard. I think the supercompensation will come a little later.”
Evenepoel was runner-up in the men's road race at the 2025 Worlds in Kigali
Evenepoel's planned peak is still to come
Evenepoel arrived in Quebec only days after completing his altitude camp, having taken five days of rest after winning the Clasica San Sebastian before heading to Livigno.
His immediate victory in Quebec showed that a month away from competition had not taken away his ability to win, but Van Avermaet believes the full effect of the training block could take longer to appear. “I have made that trip often enough myself,” he said. “You only fly on Thursday and arrive at the hotel very late. You ride easy a couple of times and then immediately have those two races.”
Van Avermaet expects the days after Canada to be important, with Evenepoel able to absorb the travel and racing before another short training block. “I think things can fall into place after those two races. If you can then put in a block of two or three really good training days, I think you can improve a little from that.”
The altitude work is another part of that calculation. “I think he arrived in Quebec just a little too soon after that altitude camp,” Van Avermaet added, arguing that the expected benefit had not yet had enough time to fully emerge.
Evenepoel himself had said something similar before racing. His aim in Quebec and Montreal was to “become competitive again” and reconnect with his best sensations rather than arrive already at his
World Championships peak.
Van Avermaet had nevertheless expected more in Montreal after seeing him win two days earlier. “Honestly, I thought Montreal would suit him even better than Quebec, but apparently he had a slightly worse day,” he admitted.
The fifth place did at least provide a reminder of what awaits when Evenepoel returns. “It keeps him watchful and alert,” Van Avermaet said. “It also makes clear that it will not be straightforward.”
Del Toro and Seixas strengthen their Worlds cases
Montreal also changed the picture around Evenepoel. Del Toro and Seixas made the decisive final-lap move and fought out victory between themselves on the same finishing circuit that will be used at the World Championships. Brandon McNulty and Quinn Simmons also crossed the line before Evenepoel, with Tom Pidcock immediately behind him in sixth.
Del Toro's victory offered the clearest possible demonstration that his form translates onto the Worlds course. Seixas was beaten in the sprint, but the 19-year-old had already won La Fleche Wallonne, finished second at Liege-Bastogne-Liege and taken fourth overall on his Tour de France debut before reaching Canada.
“Even without Pogacar, the competition is not insignificant,” Van Avermaet warned. “We should not immediately assume that he will become world champion so easily. There are still a number of other favourites.”
The course itself gives several different types of rider reason for optimism. Rather than one long decisive ascent, the elite men's road race accumulates around 3,800 metres of climbing through repeated efforts around Mount Royal. “It is mainly the succession of those climbs,” Van Avermaet said. “That is going to be pretty demanding.”
He sees Del Toro and Seixas as obvious beneficiaries of that repetition, but does not believe the climbing automatically eliminates heavier Classics riders such as
Wout van Aert or
Mathieu van der Poel.
“On a good day, those guys can survive it,” he said. The later climb towards the university and slightly uphill finish, Van Avermaet believes, could make riders of that profile extremely dangerous if they survive into a reduced group.
Van Aert gives Belgium a second route to victory
Van Aert arrives in Montreal from a Vuelta a Espana in which he won two stages and the green jersey, adding another in-form leader to a Belgian team already built around Evenepoel.
Their routes to the rainbow jersey do not necessarily have to look the same. Evenepoel remains the more obvious long-range attacking option, while Van Aert would become increasingly dangerous if a reduced group survives through the final climbs. Van Avermaet expects the latter to leave Spain “in extremely good shape, with a lot of confidence”.
That depth also affects how much responsibility Belgium should accept. “There are different scenarios possible. In many of those scenarios, Belgium still have a good card to play,” Van Avermaet said.
Rather than controlling every move, he would prefer Belgium to stay represented without exposing their two leaders too early. “We should not take too much responsibility for the race, but we should not let it get away from us either,” he argued, with the rest of the squad capable of covering moves before Evenepoel and Van Aert are required.
Canada ultimately gave Belgium both reassurance and warning. Evenepoel won immediately after his altitude block, but Del Toro and Seixas then beat him on the circuit that matters most.
Van Avermaet still regards Evenepoel as the leading favourite. The question heading into September 27 is whether the delayed peak both he and Evenepoel expect arrives when the rainbow jersey is actually on the line.