And although Evenepoel suddenly sits in a very comfortable position as yellow jersey runner-up ahead of Tuesday's time trial, Bakelants does not really see a way for the Belgian to threaten Pogacar. Especially uphill. "I wouldn't immediately declare Evenepoel a threatening competitor for Tadej Pogacar in all the remaining mountain stages."
Pogacar is still in the driving seat
While it is true that Evenepoel did defeat Tadej Pogacar head on in the most recent stage, Bakelants reminds that the Slovenian was probably not looking to win for himself. Instead, he invested extra energy to assist teammate Isaac del Toro in climbing onto the provisional podium as Paul Seixas and Florian Lipowitz both lost a good minute.
"The yellow jersey wearer still took a very conservative and controlling approach and was more concerned with a potential stage win for Isaac Del Toro than with himself. But while he executed that plan for his teammate, he did crack the rest," the explanation goes.
Evenepoel seemed convincing in the sprint, but it looked as though Pogacar did not really go all-out in the last hundreds of meters: "Of course, Evenepoel won somewhat by the grace of Pogacar," Bakelants concludes.
Of course the main victory of stage 15 for Evenepoel was to finally reaffirm himself about his own level. And, as a consequence, to move up the
overall standings.
Tadej Pogacar setting pace on stage 15
"But that [victory] doesn't really matter in this case, because he beat his direct general classification rivals fair and square. That is going to give the public a huge boost of confidence."
Tour upside down
Suddenly, we have a completely different race situation on our plate. UAE still hold all the trump cards. But they're main challengers are no longer Visma; rather Red Bull. In particular in case that Evenepoel manages to reduce his gap in the
upcoming ride against the clock.
And then we have riders who might attack from far out who sit in the overall top-10 at the moment; Lidl-Trek duo Juan Ayuso and Mattias Skjelmose, Lenny Martinez, and more.
"Up until now, this race unfolded according to the pattern perfectly predicted beforehand. With an unassailable Pogacar, a very strong Vingegaard firmly in second place, and behind them a group of riders who were evenly matched and in which no one surpassed themselves. Fixed dynamics that seemed set in stone. Which made it somewhat boring."
According to Bakelants, that is no longer the case. "Thanks to Remco, we finally got some spice. He made it by far the most exciting stage so far."
Remco Evenepoel celebrates stage 15 of the Tour de France 2026.
Vingegaard's crash did not change anything
The stage finale might've been different with Jonas Vingegaard still in the race. The Dane definitely seemed to be preparing for an offensive. Whilst Pogacar appeared strong enough to be able to counter any attack, Evenepoel might've found a harder time keeping up if the two men went truly all-out.
Although Bakelants disagrees:
"I think Remco could have kept up with the Dane as well," is his conclusion.