"He is the best 18- and 19-year-old I have ever seen": Is Paul Seixas the main threat to Pogacar at Strade Bianche?

Cycling
Tuesday, 03 March 2026 at 09:42
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The professional cycling peloton is getting younger every year, but 19-year-old French talent Paul Seixas is currently redefining what is possible for a teenage rider. Following a highly dominant performance at the Faun-Ardèche Classic, where he launched a successful 40-kilometer solo attack, Seixas has convinced experts that he might just be the most promising young rider the sport has ever seen.
"It is completely unbelievable with Seixas," said TV 2 Sport cycling expert Emil Axelgaard. "I think I wrote that there were no limits to my expectations for him this year, but the fact that he has become this good still exceeds those sky-high expectations. The route change did not make it easy to ride alone, but he just increased his lead the whole way. And yes, Seixas is a monster."
Seixas himself was slightly surprised by how the race developed, having originally anticipated a more tactical finale.
"I had incredibly good legs," the young Frenchman explained in post-race comments. "I found a pace on the climb that suited me, and I could constantly push again. We had expected three to five riders to sit on my wheel to cooperate afterwards, so I did not really believe in a solo breakaway – unless I had a truly, truly great day."

Surpassing Pogacar and Evenepoel

The cycling world has seen several young phenomena recently, with both Pogacar and Remco Evenepoel achieving major results very early in their careers. However, Axelgaard believes Seixas is on another level entirely.
"Absolutely unconditional – he is the best 18- and 19-year-old I have seen," the expert stated. "Already in 2025, he set completely new standards for what you can achieve at such a young age, and that is why I said before the season that there is no one above or beside him when we talk about talents. What he is delivering makes Evenepoel's and Pogacar's performances at that age pale in comparison."
Axelgaard noted that Seixas has taken massive steps forward over the winter, building on his strong results from last season.
"I am certainly amazed by what enormous steps he has taken over the winter – despite a third place at the European Championships and a seventh place in Lombardy last year," he said. "This year, he is beating the very best. He did that with Ayuso and Almeida on Fóia in the Algarve, where he was clearly the strongest man. This Saturday, he delivered a Pogacar-like ride in an incredibly strong field."
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Seixas is the most exciting French talent in years

Grand Tour ambitions and the spring classics

With these performances, expectations for the rest of the season are growing rapidly. Axelgaard expects Seixas to be Pogacar's main challenger in upcoming classics like Strade Bianche and Liège-Bastogne-Liège. Furthermore, he anticipates a highly successful Tour de France debut this summer.
"With his suddenly brilliant time trial, I also expect a massive Tour debut this summer if he participates as expected," Axelgaard predicted. "And even though we do not know anything about his durability over three weeks, he could easily reach the podium on his first attempt."
Looking at the bigger picture, the Danish expert sees the Frenchman as the natural heir to the sport's current biggest star. "In the long term, I see him as the direct successor to Pogacar, although I am not sure he can expand his repertoire to include the flatter classics too, like the Slovenian can."
For now, the focus is on the Strade Bianche this coming Saturday. Axelgaard offered a clear warning to the current world champion: "Pogacar needs to be ready if he wants to drop him on Saturday in Strade."
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Top comment

Rafionain-Glas02-03-202621

There seems to be a misconception as to how good Pogačar was at the age of 19-20. At Seixas's age (19 years + 159 days), Tadej only had a 5th place at the Carpathian Couriers U23 race 2017 (whatever that is), a 5th place at the Tour of Slovenia 2017, and a 3rd place at the Tour de Hongrie 2017, winning the youth classification in all of them. His 4th place at the 2018 Tour of Slovenia and breakthrough victories at the 2018 Tour de l'Avenir and Giro della Regione Friuli Venezia Giulia came after. A simple head to head on PCS shows this. With a H2H between Seixas and Evenepoel, the difference is less stark, and Evenepoel's rise is shown to be faster (though he was older). Being better than Pogačar was at the age of 19-20 is not a super high bar for the young superstars. Remco, at 19, was stronger than Pogačar was at that age. Juan Ayuso achieved Pogačar's big breakthrough (Vuelta podium at 20, almost 21) at the age of 19 (almost 20). Seixas is also ahead of the 19-year-old Pogačar. But being better than Pogačar was at 19-20 does not mean you'll become better than him - with Remco, he hit his climbing ceiling at La Vuelta 2022 and has not improved much since then. With Ayuso there is a sense of what could have been (despite the fact that the lad's only 23) as he was certainly limited by being in Pogačar's team. I think Remco winning the Tour de France would be as surprising as G winning, with Ayuso it'd be less surprising. We'll see with Seixas.

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