Contador understands why Pogacar will explore every possible route back to competition.
Speaking on Eurosport Spain after Stage 10, the seven-time Grand Tour winner argued that the strongest pressure to return is likely to come from Pogacar himself.
“When you have an injury like this, the person who really puts pressure on the rider is the rider himself,” Contador said. “He thinks: ‘I want to remain world champion, and until I see that it’s impossible, I’m going to try. I’m going to do everything within my power to recover.’”
C7 fracture complicates Pogacar’s recovery
A surgically repaired collarbone would not necessarily prevent Pogacar from maintaining some form on an indoor trainer. The cervical fracture presents a far more delicate obstacle because the affected area must remain immobilised.
“But it’s true that the fracture of the C7 vertebra is what complicates everything,” Contador explained. “You have to keep that immobilised and it’s a delicate injury. We don’t know exactly where the fracture is, but it requires a period without movement.”
Pogacar may be able to begin limited training while his collarbone heals, although riding indoors with a neck brace is very different from preparing to contest a World Championship road race. “You can get on the turbo trainer with an operated collarbone and while wearing a neck brace,” Contador continued. “That is possible. But the question is whether you can be ready in time.”
Contador placed the normal timeframe for bones to fuse at approximately six weeks, more than twice the effective preparation period available before Pogacar would need to travel.
Pogacar claimed his second successive Rainbow Jersey in Kigali
Journey to Montreal shortens an already tight window
The trip to Montreal would bring Pogacar’s practical recovery deadline forward by several more days. Contador estimated that the defending champion would need to reach Canada at least five days before the road race to recover from the journey and adjust to the time difference.
“We’re talking about a flight of around ten hours, and you then have to acclimatise to the time difference,” he said.
A European World Championships would allow Pogacar to delay his decision until much closer to race day. Canada requires an intercontinental flight and sufficient time on the ground before confronting a World Championship road race immediately upon his return to competition.
“That isn’t the same as being in Monaco and travelling to a World Championships in Belgium, the Netherlands, France or Spain, where you can travel the day before, pin on your race number and compete,” Contador explained. “In that situation, you can wait until the very last moment before making the decision.”
The gap between those two timelines underpinned Contador’s warning. “Looking at everything and considering that bones normally require around six weeks to fuse, I think it would be risky,” he said. “It would be an unnecessary risk for Tadej to travel there.”
Following Contador’s minimum five-day acclimatisation plan would require Pogacar to leave Europe around September 22, approximately three and a half weeks after his Vuelta crash and well before the six-week healing benchmark outlined by the former Tour de France winner.