Tour de Luxembourg 2026 GC & stage 1 previews, profiles, favourites & predictions - Mathieu van der Poel's big pre-world championships test

Cycling
Tuesday, 15 September 2026 at 13:23
E3SaxoClassic_MathieuVanDerPoel (4)
From the 16th to the 20th of September, the peloton will be taking on the Tour de Luxembourg. With Mathieu van der Poel on the start line, the race will largely be seen as one of the main avenues of preparation towards the 2026 World Championships. We preview the race ahead, looking at its stages and favourites.
The race was first held in 1935, having its first three editions conquered by home rider Mathias Clemens. A local race for many decades, most early winners hailed from the small European nation, including the then mythical Charly Gaul who would propel Luxembourg into Tour de France glory in the 1950's.
Over the decades, the race began gaining a larger international reputation, featuring names such as Freddy Maertens and Bernard Hinault as winners. By the time the new century was rolling around, other names such as Lance Armstrong and then Luxembourg's own Frank Schleck also conquered the race.
Often a race decided by its hilly terrain, the classics specialists were those that often thrived in it. Greg van Avermaet was amongst them, whilst time trialists and climbers also enjoyed their run at success. In the 2020's the race has been won by Diego Ulissi, João Almeida, Mattias Skjelmose, Marc Hirschi, Antonio Tiberi and most recently Brandon McNulty.
StageDateDayStarting locationFinishing locationDistanceTerrainCET startCET finish
116 Sep 2026WednesdayLuxembourg – KnuedlerLuxembourg – Fëschmaart157 kmHilly14:50h18:25h
217 Sep 2026ThursdayDifferdange/NiederkornJunglinster167 kmFlat14:35h18:20h
318 Sep 2026FridayWiltzDiekirch180 kmHilly14:00h18:05h
419 Sep 2026SaturdayEttelbruckEttelbruck20.4 kmTime trial16:09h18:25h
520 Sep 2026SundayMerschLuxembourg – Limpertsberg177 kmHilly12:20h16:20h

Preview Tour de Luxembourg 2026 overal classification

The overall classification is likely to be decided on the race's time trial, whilst the hilly stages will thin out the list of those fighting for victory. The race is not stacked as it has previously been, and so Mathieu van der Poel is likely to be the main favourite because there are no top climbers who should be able to distance him on the longer climbs, or teams that might outnumber him.
On the longer side of the ascents, riders such as Igor Arrieta and Davide Piganzoli might be threats, whilst UAE and Visma are experienced at racing to win - although both teams are quite young, and under-23 riders are involved. Aurélien Paret-Peintre might also be a threat in this field.
Time trial wise, Soren Kragh Andersen is likely the one rider who could be a major target for van der Poel to distance; whilst mostly it is the teams' depth and tactical play that can pressure him. Andrea Bagioli, Andreas Raccagni, Mikkel Honoré, Neilson Powless and Adria Pericas are all contenders for the GC win.

Prediction Tour de Luxembourg 2026 overall classification: 

*** Mathieu van der Poel
** Igor Arrieta, Davide Piganzoli, Andrea Raccagni
* Aurélien Paret-Peintre, Andrea Bagioli, Soren Kragh Andersen, Emiel Verstrynge, Mikkel Honoré, Neilson Powless, Adria Pericas
Pick: Mathieu van der Poel

Preview Tour de Luxembourg 2026 stage 1

The opening stage should be one of the most controlled of the race, if not the most. Mathieu van der Poel is likely to get a clean run-in to the final climbs. Whilst the first is slightly longer, and the likes of Piganzoli, Arrieta or Mikkel Honoré might put him on the limit; I don't think it will be difficult enough for him to get serious distanced.
Even if so, the flat finale and the lack of climbs in the end means he might find allies, or even an Emiel Verstrynge similarly strong. On the final hilltop, van der Poel is written all over.
Other explosive riders such as Andrea Bagioli and Andrea Raccagni can be quite dangerous, but will depend on the Dutchman not having his best legs.

Prediction Tour de Luxembourg 2026 stage 1: 

*** Mathieu van der Poel
** Andrea Bagioli, Mikkel Honoré
* Andrea Raccagni, Aurélien Paret-Peintre, Emiel Verstrynge, Neilson Powless, Davide Piganzoli, Igor Arrieta, Adrià Pericas
Pick: Mathieu van der Poel
How: Reduced groups sprint.

Profile stage 1: Knuedler - Fëschmaart

Profile of stage 1 of the Tour de Luxembourg 2026
Knuedler - Feschmaart, 157 kilometers
The race begins with a stage that starts and finished in the city of Luxembourg itself, heading north into the German border and back. A day for the puncheurs to start things off, as in fact they all are in the Luxembourg race.
The first stage has one main feautre which is the Côte de Stafelter, 2.4 kilometers long at 7%, ending with 9 kilometers to go. There isn't much of a chance for tactical racing on the first day, but a serious attack here will clearly outline those who are able to fight for the overall win, and those who are not.
The riders descend back down and then have a 500-meter long uphill sprint to the line in Fëschmaart at 9%, making it a very explosive and dangerous finale where gaps can be opened up easily.

Profile stage 2: Differdange (Niederkorn) - Junglinster

Profile of stage 2 of the Tour de Luxembourg 2026
Differdange - Junglinster, 167 kilometers
The second day of the race features a start in Differdange with relatively flat terrain to be tackled, before a second half of the day that is less difficult but more difficult to control.
The riders head towards Junglinster on the second day, and take on a final circuit that features two small ascents. To be raced twice, it features a 1.5Km long climb at 4.3% (with a bonus sprint on the first lap with 23Km to go); and a 1 kilometer long ascent at 3.4%.
They end with 10 and 5 kilometers respectively, whilst the final 500 meters also feature a slight uphill tilt to the line. If any day is going to be decided in a sprint, it most likely is going to be this stage.

Profile stage 3: Wiltz - Diekirch

Profile of stage 3 of the Tour de Luxembourg 2026
Wiltz - Diekirch, 180 kilometers
Stage 3 from Wiltz to Diekirch is a different day the previous ones, with short but very explosive climbs towards the finale, which also features a final circuit. The overall classification can suffer big chances on the third day of racing.
The 180-kilometer long route is not overly difficult until the final hour of racing, that should see non-stop action on a circuit with three climbs. Right before they enter it, with 28 kilometers to go, there is a short steep ascent.
But in the circuit itself, to be tackled twice, there will be three climbs: 1.8Km at 6.1% (12Km to go); 700 meters at 8% (7Km to go); and 1.1Km at 7.2% (3Km to go). From the last one to the finish there is only a short descent and a fast run-in to the line.

Profile stage 4 (ITT): Ettelbruck - Ettelbruck

Profile of stage 4 of the Tour de Luxembourg 2026
Ettelbruck - Ettelbruck, 20.4 kilometers
Potentially the queen stage of the race, the Tour de Luxembourg's time trial is 20 kilometers long and might open up gaps like no other stage. It is not a short effort, and not an easy one by any means either.
Starting and finishing in Ettelbruck, the route is 20 kilometers long. In its first third, there is a climb that is 900 meters long at 10%. The riders will still choose their time trial bikes, but face proper climbing challenges on it.
There is no recovery from the climb, instead a plateau section leading to the race's intermediate point. A small climb will follow, whilst the final 3 kilometers will be fully downhill all the way to the finish line.

Profile stage 5: Mersch - Limpertsberg

Profile of stage 5 of the Tour de Luxembourg 2026
Mersch - Limpertsberg, 177 kilometers
The final stage of the race is 177 kilometers long and will be a roller-coaster from start to finish. Some longer ascents int he first half of the race might see strong groups going up the road, whilst back in the city of Luxembourg, the GC might be decided on the final punchy hilltops.
The final section of the stage features consecutive efforts, entering a circuit in the middle of them. There will be three ascents of the Pabelergberg, which is 800 meters long at 8.3%.
The first (24.5Km to go) will see a bonus sprint and might detonate the race. The climb is placed with 1 kilometers to go, and could be the decisive factor in the fight for the stage win later on.

List of winners Tour de Luxembourg

Year1st2nd3rd
2025Brandon McNultyMattias SkjelmoseRichard Carapaz
2024Antonio TiberiMathieu van der PoelDavid Gaudu
2023Marc HirschiBrandon McNultyBen Healy
2022Mattias SkjelmoseKévin VauquelinValentin Madouas
2021João AlmeidaMarc HirschiMattia Cattaneo
2020Diego UlissiMarkus HoelgaardAimé De Gendt
2019Jesús HerradaMaurits LammertinkAndrea Pasqualon
2018Andrea PasqualonJan TratnikPit Leyder
2017Greg Van AvermaetXandro MeurisseAnthony Pérez
2016Maurits LammertinkPhilippe GilbertAlex Kirsch
2015Linus GerdemannMarc de MaarHuub Duijn
2014Matti BreschelJempy DruckerMichael Mørkøv
2013Paul MartensJonathan HivertJan Bakelants
2012Jakob FuglsangWout PoelsFränk Schleck
2011Linus GerdemannAlexandre GeniezTony Gallopin
2010Matteo CarraraFränk SchleckLance Armstrong
2009Fränk SchleckAndreas KlödenMarco Marcato
2008Joost PosthumaMichael AlbasiniFränk Schleck
2007Grégory RastLaurent BrochardTiziano Dall'Antonia
2006Christian Vande VeldeTomasz BrożynaAllan Johansen
2005László BodrogiFabian CancellaraJukka Vastaranta
2004Maxime MonfortTorsten HiekmannJörg Jaksche
2003Thomas VoecklerPiotr WadeckiDavid Cañada
2002Marcus LjungqvistBart VoskampOndřej Sosenka
2001Jørgen Bo PetersenRaivis BelohvoščiksFred Rodriguez
2000Alberto ElliBenoît JoachimNicola Loda
1999Marc WautersSteffen KjærgaardTobias Steinhauser
1998Lance ArmstrongErik DekkerDirk Müller
1997Frank VandenbrouckeAlberto ElliErik Breukink
1996Alberto ElliLaurent DesbiensErik Breukink
1995Rolf JärmannEmmanuel MagnienGianluca Bortolami
1994Frans MaassenGeorge HincapieMelchor Mauri
1993Maximilian SciandriMaarten den BakkerJohan Museeuw
1992Jean-Philippe DojwaJohn van den AkkerRon Kiefel
1991Gert-Jan TheunisseFrans MaassenAdrie van der Poel
1990Christophe LavainneErich MächlerMaximilian Sciandri
1989Michel CornelisseDariusz KajzerEddy Schurer
1988Richard TrinklerJaanus KuumJacques Decrion
1987Søren LilholtLaurent FignonBenjamin van Itterbeeck
1986Steven RooksSøren LilholtHarald Maier
1985Jelle NijdamWilliam TackaertLouis Luyten
1984Christophe LavainneWilliam TackaertRudy Dhaenens
1983Lucien DidierCharly MottetKim Andersen
1982Bernard HinaultHennie KuiperIgor Bokov
1981Yuri BarinovIgor BokovRiho Suun
1980Bert OosterboschLeo van VlietDaniel Gisiger
1979Lucien DidierBernard HinaultBert Oosterbosch
1978Ludo PeetersWilfried WesemaelGerben Karstens
1977Bert PronkGerrie KnetemannWilly Lienhard
1976Frans VerbeeckJos JacobsGerrie Knetemann
1975Frans VerbeeckWilly TeirlinckHerman van Springel
1974Freddy MaertensFrans VerbeeckHerman van Springel
1973Sylvain VasseurWilly PlanckaertJean-Pierre Guitard
1972Roger RosiersPaul AertsBarry Hoban
1971André DierickxFerdinand BrackeLeif Mortensen
1970Edy SchutzGeorges PintensRené Pijnen
1969Davide BoifavaRini WagtmansArie den Hartog
1968Edy SchutzCees HaastFranco Bodrero
1967Frans BrandsBernard van de KerckhoveRaymond Delisle
1966Edy SchutzArmand DesmetWilly Planckaert
1965Vin DensonJean-Claude LebaubeArie den Hartog
1964Arie den HartogBas MaliepaardHans Junkermann
1963Yvo MolenaersJo de RooMartin van der Borgh
1962Joseph PlanckaertWilly SchroedersFrans De Mulder
1961Charly GaulMarcel ErnzerGeorges Groussard
1960Marcel ErnzerAldo BolzanGiuseppe Pintarelli
1959Charly GaulAldo BolzanPino Cerami
1958Jean-Pierre SchmitzJean-Claude AnnaertPiet de Jongh
1957Gérard SaintRaymond ElenaElio Gerussi
1956Charly GaulRené RemangeonJean Forestier
1955Louison BobetMarcel ErnzerCharly Gaul
1954Jean-Pierre SchmitzCharly GaulMarcel Ernzer
1953Robert van der StocktAlex CloseCharly Gaul
1952Jean KirchenJean GoldschmitRobert van der Stockt
1951Marcel ErnzerBim DiederichGeorges Jobé
1950Isidoor De RyckBim DiederichJean Kirchen
1949Bim DiederichNello SforacchiMarcel Ernzer
1948Jean GoldschmitGuy LapébieMathias Clemens
1947Mathias ClemensBim DiederichJean Kirchen
1946Briek SchotteBim DiederichNorbert Callens
1945Jean GoldschmitBim DiederichMarcel Poire
1943François NeuensMathias ClemensPierre Clemens
1942François NeuensChristophe DidierMathias Clemens
1941Christophe DidierErich BautzRichard Menapace
1939Mathias ClemensLucien VlaemynckFernand Mithouard
1938Lucien VlaemynckAdolphe BraeckeveldtHubert Deltour
1937Mathias ClemensPierre ClemensCamiel Michielsens
1936Mathias ClemensPierre ClemensJulius Hamelryckx
1935Mathias ClemensJulius HamelryckxJean Oeyen
claps 0visitors 0
loading

Just in

Popular news

Latest comments

Loading