'El Pistolero's analysis also starts from a familiar theme in Grand Tours: the gradual narrowing of differences between specialists and those who reach the end of the race in exceptional form. Accumulated fatigue can shift the benchmarks and alter hierarchies that looked clear in the opening weeks.
“As a Grand Tour progresses, the gaps between the specialist and the rider who is simply very strong usually level out quite a bit in the general classification,” Contador explained. In his view, that dynamic could play a major role in the fight between Mas and Roglič when the race hits its decisive days.
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Mas’ resilience a decisive asset
In this scenario, Contador believes Enric Mas is showing an especially competitive version of himself. The Movistar Team rider reaches the final phase in red and with the confidence that comes from having handled the toughest days so far. For the former Spanish pro, the Mallorcan’s form is one of the standout arguments of this Vuelta.
“We’re seeing the strongest Enric Mas ever, and a Primož Roglič who perhaps is no longer at his all-time best,” Contador stated. In his view, that contrast in current form helps balance a duel that, on paper, might have looked more favorable to the Slovenian given his experience and pedigree in this type of race.
The time trial will therefore be a key moment to measure the contenders’ strength. Roglič can count on strong arguments against the clock, but Mas will then have two opportunities in the mountains to respond if the TT does not go his way. “That really evens the scales, plus what we were just saying, that we’re already so deep into the Vuelta a España,” he added.
Contador also believes the calendar plays into the Movistar Team leader’s hands. Even if Roglič claws back time in the time trial, two brutal stages will remain in which Mas can try to regain ground or extend his advantage. “Regardless of the time trial result, there are then two very hard stages in which, at a given moment, he could try to put Primož Roglič under pressure or get time back if necessary,” he concluded.
Contador’s takeaway points to a battle still wide open, but with an Enric Mas who hits the final part of La Vuelta with solid arguments. The TT may reshuffle the standings, though the subsequent mountains will offer the leader a last chance to defend or even increase his lead before the final arrival in Madrid.