“He’ll finish outside the podium” - Jonas Vingegaard faces 2027 Tour de France nightmare, warns Michael Rasmussen

Cycling
Jonas Vingegaard in action during stage six of the 2026 Tour de France
Michael Rasmussen expects Jonas Vingegaard to finish outside the podium at the 2027 Tour de France, despite a record of first or second place in every edition he has completed. The former yellow jersey holder delivered his verdict following Thursday’s unveiling of the route.
“Jonas has shown recently that he’s struggling a little when it comes to flat time trials,” Rasmussen told Viaplay. “He finished 13th in the Giro, and he’s also taken some hefty beatings in the most recent flat time trials at the Tour.”
Vingegaard lost 1:21 to Remco Evenepoel over 33km in Caen during the 2025 Tour, finishing 13th on the stage. His eventual second place overall extended a sequence that began with runner-up honours in 2021, continued with victories in 2022 and 2023, and included another second place in 2024.
The 2027 course offers 71km of individual time trialling, the most since 2012. The first test covers 38 flat kilometres between Blois and Chambord on stage seven; the second runs for 33km around Toulouse on stage 16, including the Cote de Pech David.
There are three summit finishes among six mountain stages. Both time trials come before the closing Pyrenean double-header, with the Tourmalet and Col du Portet on stage 18 followed by the mountainous route to Laruns.

Evenepoel and Seixas in contention

Rasmussen considers Evenepoel and Paul Seixas better suited to the flatter time trials. Evenepoel has won an individual time-trial stage in each of his three Tour appearances.
“I actually think he’ll finish outside the podium,” Rasmussen said of Vingegaard. “I put a lot of weight on what the bookmakers say, and they’re rarely completely wrong. It makes a lot of sense. Jonas hasn’t really been handed any gifts by this Tour de France route.”
Vingegaard went on to win the 2026 Giro on his debut after placing 13th in its time trial. The Team Visma | Lease a Bike leader also won Paris–Nice and the Volta a Catalunya before attempting the Giro–Tour double.
Vingegaard started stage 15 of the Tour in second place, 4:30 behind Tadej Pogacar, before a crash fractured his collarbone and forced him to abandon. Evenepoel moved into second that day and retained the position through to Paris.
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