However, Delgado’s analysis includes one element that could temporarily change the picture: the time trial in Jerez de la Frontera. Although the way Roglic has looked in the mountain stages does not appear to correspond with his very best form, Perico explained that he has spoken directly with the Slovenian and that the rider’s own assessment is very different. According to Delgado, Roglic told him that he is “in one of the best forms of his career”.
That is a particularly relevant statement given that the time trial may be exactly the terrain on which the Red Bull – BORA – hansgrohe rider can claw back a significant amount of the time he has lost to Enric Mas.
Perico expects the Balearic rider to concede a considerable amount of time against the clock. His estimate puts Mas’s loss at somewhere between one minute and 10 seconds and one minute and a half, while he even considers the possibility that Mas could lose two minutes.
If that kind of scenario were to play out, the Vuelta would open up again to some extent, although Delgado believes Enric has shown sufficiently strong legs to approach the final decisive stages with confidence afterwards.
Mas has held the Red Jersey since Tadej Pogacar's abandon
Enric Mas has shown stronger legs than Roglic
The key to Perico’s analysis lies precisely in what has happened on the road. Beyond the characteristics of the time trial, the former cyclist believes Enric Mas has looked stronger than Primoz Roglic in the mountains. And that completely changes how what happens after Jerez should be viewed.
The time trial may favour the Slovenian and allow him to reduce the gap, but afterwards comes the terrain on which Enric Mas has shown himself to be stronger. Delgado points especially to the Andalusian run between Malaga and Granada, where the Movistar Team leader could still have one final opportunity to consolidate his advantage.
Perico’s view is not that Enric will simply have to defend during the final stages. Quite the opposite. “If he keeps the legs he has shown during this Vuelta, Enric could even increase the gaps again in the mountains.”
That is why, despite the threat posed by the time trial, Delgado sticks with his prediction: Enric Mas is in a position to take the red jersey home and become the 2026 Vuelta a Espana champion.
Should Enric Mas’s victory carry an asterisk?
Another subject Perico Delgado was asked about was whether a hypothetical Enric Mas victory should carry an asterisk because of Tadej Pogacar’s abandonment. The Vuelta winner’s answer was emphatic: “No.”
Delgado believes Grand Tours are won on the road and that circumstances are part of the competition itself. “Enric Mas is where he is because he has managed to perform better than his rivals and because he has known how to make the most of the opportunities the race has given him.”
Perico then took the argument a step further and pointed out that, following that logic, “you would also have to put an asterisk next to the Tour de France won by Tadej Pogacar because of Jonas Vingegaard’s abandonment”.
His reasoning is simple: abandonments are also part of Grand Tours and do not diminish the achievement of the rider who ultimately prevails on the road. Enric Mas, moreover, has not simply preserved an inherited advantage. He has had to defend the red jersey, has responded to attacks from his main rivals and has managed to create gaps in the mountains. His performances in the most recent stages have turned the Vuelta into a very different race from the one that could have been imagined before the start.
The time trial could be the final major test
The biggest obstacle Enric Mas will face is the Jerez time trial. Perico Delgado acknowledges that Roglic “can take back a significant amount of time and that, therefore, the result of the time trial battle will be decisive in determining what kind of advantage the leader takes into the final stages”.
But there is one factor working in Enric’s favour: the legs he has shown so far. If the Balearic rider can limit his losses to Roglic and maintain a significant advantage in the general classification, the terrain that follows could suit him.
Perico Delgado’s analysis therefore leaves one clear conclusion: Roglic still has one major weapon in the time trial, but Enric Mas has done enough on the road to be considered the clear favourite for overall victory.