Among those likely to challenge him are riders with very different profiles. From
Tom Pidcock’s explosiveness to Lenny Martínez’s climbing punch, plus the rise of
Giulio Pellizzari, the talent of Oscar Onley, and the versatility of Jhonatan Narváez, McNulty will have several threats to control if he wants to christen the rainbow with another win.
Tom Pidcock in action at the 2026 Montreal World Championships
Tom Pidcock the most unpredictable rival
Tom Pidcock is probably the rider best equipped to rip up the script. The Briton blends an outstanding ability on short, explosive climbs with a knack for racing where favorites mark each other and attacks come in waves. His
seventh place at the Montréal Worlds also confirmed he hits the season’s finale ready to compete with the elite.
Variety is his great strength. Pidcock can strike from distance, wait for the final kilometers, or use a burst on San Luca to open a small gap that proves almost impossible to close. On a circuit with four passes of the Bolognese climb, that gear-changing ability could be one of his key weapons.
McNulty also knows he cannot just follow his wheel. The world champion showed in Montréal that he, too, can launch big moves when others begin to fade, but Pidcock is one of the few who can answer that kind of attack and turn a controlled race into a tactical chess match. If the Briton reaches the decisive kilometers with freedom, he will be a real threat to the rainbow.
Lenny Martínez a threat on San Luca
Lenny Martinez brings a different danger. The Frenchman is one of the most explosive climbers of his generation and thrives on steep gradients, the perfect terrain to make differences. His ability to accelerate on hard ramps and hold high speed in short efforts fits a finish like San Luca.
Martínez does not necessarily need a fully shattered race to be dangerous. On the contrary, he can profit from a reduced group where the favorites arrive with heavy legs after several passes of the key climbs. His changes of pace can force McNulty to spend energy early, especially if other teams harden the race from afar.
The American will need to watch his attacks closely in the final kilometers. If Martínez reaches the last ascent with room to launch, he will force the world champion to respond directly — exactly the scenario rivals might seek to wear him down. His limited sprint is no issue if he goes clear on the final ramps.
Giulio Pellizzari, Italy’s new prospect
Giulio Pellizzari arrives at the Giro dell’Emilia as one of the young riders who has made the biggest gains in the mountains. The Italian stands out as a climber and is increasingly able to compete with top-tier riders in long efforts and demanding finales.
The Marchigiano’s main asset — born in Le Marche — is his ability to sustain a high pace when the race hits the climbs. He does not need a few seconds of pure punch to make gaps: he can exploit accumulated fatigue and turn the final ascent into a test of endurance. In a race like Emilia, where the bunch will be whittled down towards San Luca, that could be decisive.
Pellizzari can also lean on Red Bull-BORA-hansgrohe’s tactics. If he attacks before the last climb and forces UAE to chase, McNulty might have to burn teammates too soon. The more isolated the world champion is in the decisive kilometers, the better Pellizzari’s chances in a one-on-one scenario.
Oscar Onley in the best young rider’s jersey at the Vuelta a España 2026
Oscar Onley's speed and explosiveness
Oscar Onley is another rider capable of doing damage on such a selective route. The Briton has a particularly interesting profile for this kind of classic: he climbs well enough to survive the hardest ascents and is explosive enough to exploit small splits in the final kilometres.
His edge over other climbers and puncheurs may appear precisely when the race turns into a sequence of accelerations. Onley can respond to short moves and keep a high pace after the crest, a trait especially useful on San Luca. He also doesn’t need to arrive solo to have a shot at victory: a reduced group can play to his strengths.
Compared with the rest of the field, he starts behind the top favourites, but that status can become a tactical weapon: being an outsider. If Pidcock, Martínez, or Pellizzari draw more attention, Onley could find the space to attack at the right moment. McNulty will have to prevent the Briton from prising open a few seconds, because on such a short, explosive climb, closing them can be far harder than it looks.
Jhonatan Narváez a specialist in attritional racing
Jhonatan Narváez rounds out the list of threats with a different profile. The Ecuadorian is one of those riders who can perform at a very high level as the race progressively hardens. He has the power to clear demanding ramps, the capacity to sustain intense efforts, and enough experience to judge when to spend a match and when to wait.
His versatility is one of his main arguments. Narváez can jump in a dangerous break, slot into a favourites’ group, or attack when the main contenders start to run out of teammates. In a race of almost 200 kilometres with four passes of San Luca, that endurance can be as valuable as a sharp acceleration.
For McNulty, the Ecuadorian is also a tactical threat. UAE Team Emirates XRG will have to control not only the climbers but also the moves that may unfold before the final ascent. If Narváez reaches San Luca with something left and other favourites neutralise each other, he can be one of those riders able to exploit the confusion. The world champion lines up as favourite, but he will also have to prove he can defend the rainbow within his own team.